October 18, 2012

Bits Bucket for October 18, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




RSS feed

404 Comments »

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 05:59:58
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 14:06:02

Sorry to put this in a post when I haven’t even looked at the link. I’m sure it is not related. But this is too funny not to post. The fun is in the comments, obviously.

http://www.amazon.com/Avery-Durable-Binder-EZ-Turn-17032/dp/B001B0CTMU/ref=cm_cr_pr_product_top

Ahansen and Slim, you HAVE to look at this.

Comment by Jingle Male
2012-10-18 15:04:53

THAT is HILARIOUS.

Comment by polly
2012-10-18 15:43:13

The person who showed me was worried that Amazon would take the comments down. I’m not sure. I think they might leave it.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 20:19:02

Comments like that might actually help sales, by grabbing prospective buyers’ attention…

 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-18 15:10:19

Comments are a real laugher. Thanks, polly!

Comment by polly
2012-10-18 15:42:05

Welcome. By the way, you too, Sfhomeowner and oxide.

Enjoy.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 17:32:05

“If this is the ‘durable white’ binder, where do they keep the weak and fragile ones, or the women of color? “

 
 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-18 16:30:55

Snork. Thanks, Polly.

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-10-18 16:44:26

“Ahansen and Slim, you HAVE to look at this.”

Are men not allowed to enjoy this?

Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 17:23:49

Get your own damn binder!!!

Yeah, it was pretty good. Are there comments like for ALL the binders on Amazon??

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 18:35:28

No idea. There couldn’t be 800 comments on all the binders, could there? I only got this link.

Muggy, any of the guys are, or course, welcome to enjoy, but I was most sure that the four people I pointed out would enjoy it. If you think your sense of humor is similar, you would probably enjoy it too.

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-10-18 18:56:03

I did enjoy it.

I was just messin’… unless I am talking about charter schools, please take 99% of my comments as clownin’ around.

FWIW, K12 education is 90%+ women. I prefer to work with women. There is nothing worse than going out to lunch with a buncha dudes that want to talk 100% sports.

I too am tired of penis people. :shock:

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 19:55:42

“I too am tired of penis people.”

Then I suggest you avoid the debates like the plague.

Who would win an actual fistfight between Obama and Romney?
Every other animal species on the planet uses physical violence to determine leaders, so why not humans?
Thursday, October 18, 2012 - Reality 101 by Richard Townley

DOTHAN, AL, October 18, 2012 — Governor Romney and President Obama mixed it up pretty good in their second debate. Despite the town hall format that usually dampens aggressive behavior, they got into each other’s space like a couple of angry bulls.

The reaction from most men I know was positive. We are crude and primitive and we understand using physical force. I am referring to old-fashioned alpha males, not the newer variety of apologist, gender confused beta males. Based on his “everything needs to be fair” approach to politics I wrongly assumed Obama to be a “kinder, gentler” beta male like the ones who often got pushed into lockers at my old high school.

If both candidates wanted to appeal to women during the debate, they probably failed. Women in general are not very interested in watching the opposite gender fight for dominance, and please note that I am speaking in generalities just to make a point. Even back in caveman times, Oona had better things to do than sit around while Og and Zurg fought over a rabbit pelt.

But men, again in general terms, love watching a good fight. I thought the debate was great. At last, both men acted like real men, testosterone levels were over the top, tempers flared and a few times it even seemed as if one or the other would throw a punch and start a brawl.

This of course raises the question of who would actually win a fistfight, Romney or Obama? Ladies, you can sit this next section out if you want since it basically abandons all reason and common sense. A September 2012 poll, done by Langer Research Associates for Esquire magazine and Yahoo! News, asked respondents which presidential candidate they thought would win in an actual fistfight. 58% opted for Obama, 22% for Romney and 20% (probably women) had no opinion.

Considering age and physical ability I would have to go with Obama too, but Romney is bigger and might get in some lucky blows. A more balanced approach would be a tag team event. Adding Ryan and Biden would definitely even the playing field and please President Obama by making the matchup “fair for everyone.”

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 20:16:50

So male politicians should stop debating and try to grow some really beautiful tail feathers to get the women’s vote? Why didn’t someone tell me these things?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 20:34:41

Why didn’t someone tell me these things?

We didn’t want to worry your pretty little head. :wink:

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 21:11:57

This of course raises the question of who would actually win a fistfight, Romney or Obama?

Is this a joke? Obama at any adult age would kick Romney’s A$$. Unless Romney got 5 of his friends to hold Obama down as Romney did in high school. Romney is a coward and a rich boy bully, and the kind of boss who requires you to laugh at his jokes.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 23:03:56

Yesterday at 12:21 PM

Romney Son Says Other Romney Son Doesn’t Really Want to Punch President Obama

By Sarah Frank

Ann Romney appeared on The View today, replacing her husband who cancelled his interview following his comments that the co-hosts were “high risk.” As backup, Ann brought her son Josh, who is not the son that said he’d like to punch President Obama for calling his dad a liar during the second presidential debate Tuesday night. Of course Josh had to answer for his brother Tagg’s remarks: “You really don’t like to see your dad get beat up by the media or President Obama, so you take it pretty personally,” assuring the hosts it would’ve been a weak punch anyway. “That brother has slugged me a couple times … President Obama has nothing to worry about.”

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by frankie
2012-10-18 06:06:31

Strange, terrible, yet curiously inevitable news today - the day before iPhone 5 day. Analysis based on figures from hefty Wall Street brains appears to show that the Jesus Phone is set to account for a large chunk - perhaps the majority - of US economic activity within a matter of decades.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/09/11/iphone_to_account_for_half_of_us_economy/

Abit tongue in cheek, but makes a point I feel.

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 06:10:58

Since the FED is buying all the bogus MBS maybe you should buy this new gem:

MORL

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-18 06:22:22

MORL

LOL. MORL is now enjoying the “suck ‘em in” phase.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-18 06:26:46

“If God did not want them sheared He would not have made them sheep.”

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by samk
2012-10-18 06:14:57

“Just five years ago in 2007, the iPhone accounted for zero per cent of the US economy.”

LOL.

Comment by azdude
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:30:32

Oops. Name typo.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 07:39:54

Sounds awful.

With any luck, I’ll be dead by then.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 08:46:13

Clear example of “that which cannot go on forever will stop.”

Speaking of which, maybe I should stop my personal moritorium on attending large political gatherings on the National Mall? The “million” puppet march sounds like a hoot. I have one that I made as a kid still in the apartment somewhere (mad scientist with purple glasses made out of extra fuzzy pipe cleaners) and a possum (purchased or received as a gift) that can be very expressive as the paws can be used to cover the eyes. Hmm…

Comment by ahansen
2012-10-18 22:23:13

When it comes to rallies, bodies are good, Polly. So are puppets.
More to the point, your updates are invaluable to those of us who can’t be there in person!

Still laffing over your dioramas, btw. :-)

 
 
Comment by Weed Wacker
2012-10-18 12:34:43

I am stocking up on iphones for the coming financial apocalypse. We should end the Fed and move to the iphone-standard before it is too late.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-18 14:58:56

“Strange, terrible, yet curiously inevitable news…”

The steady drumbeat of recent MarketWatch articles on the inevitability of a future stock market crash seems to fit under that topic. You’d think these people never learned that a Plunge Protection Team was created after the 1987 crash to avoid having it ever happen again!

P.S. My boss’s comment to me on Black Monday (October 19, 1987): “Now is the time to buy, if you have the guts.” (Never heard whether he followed his own advice…)

Oct. 18, 2012, 12:28 p.m. EDT
Get set to buy stocks after a market crash
Commentary: Old Masters of Wall Street teach the art of investing
By Jonathan Burton, MarketWatch

The mother of all modern manias, the Tulip mania saw prices for fancy tulip bulbs soar to prices many times a skilled artisan’s annual income. A Satire on the Folly of Tulip Mania by 17th Century Flemish painter Brueghel the Younger is a clear indictment against mindless speculation.

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Wall Street has never been a market for old men — but when the going gets tough, the graying veterans get the 3 a.m. call for help.

Today’s stock-market gurus were 25 years younger on Oct. 19, 1987, when they learned a painful lesson in the throes of a full-blown investor panic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA -0.06% lost almost a quarter of its value that day — its worst single-session percentage drop ever. “Black Monday” conjured fears of that other October crash almost 60 years earlier, which ushered in the Great Depression.

In fact, the day after Black Monday was a terrific time to buy stocks.

A $10,000 stake in the 30 Dow stocks on Oct. 20, 1987 would be worth more than $137,000 now, according to investment researcher Morningstar Inc. That’s an 11% annualized return, including dividends, and even factoring in shareholders’ “lost decade” between 2000 and 2010.

But buying at points of maximum pessimism takes steel nerves most investors don’t have. Few of us could readily follow Baron Nathan Rothschild’s famous dictum to “buy when there’s blood in the streets — even if it’s your own.” Fear and doubt, in our own lives or caroming off of global, large-scale events, are powerful and limiting emotions.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-18 16:36:12

I suppose one could argue that overconfidence inspired by overestimating the power of regulatory authorities to protect investors from risk could result in prices getting bid up to a level where a crash is inevitable.

But I don’t believe this argument is made in the article.

 
 
 
Comment by elvismcduf
2012-10-18 06:12:32

donald fagan’s (steely dan) new CD is out…it’s called

SUNKEN CONDOS

http://www.donaldfagen.com/

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 06:33:53

The linked track has much the same stylistic flavor of their old hits…

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-18 09:12:19

Walter Becker doesn’t appear to be involved in this latest release. Have they finally gone their separate ways?

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 06:18:21

Bloomberg - Autoworkers Earning Less in U.S. Happy to Compete Again:

“In a break with decades of U.S. auto union tradition, the prevailing wage paid to new unionized autoworkers is less than that of the average laborer producing items ranging from metal and wood products to food and beverages.

Since 2007, the United Auto Workers has agreed to let automakers hire new workers who forego traditional retiree health care, equal pay for equal work, job security and pensions in exchange for jobs that would have gone to Mexico or Asia.

The union’s concessions were inconceivable, and easily rejected by labor leaders, just a few years before. Now, as many as half the workers at the Michigan factory assembling Sonic and Verano sub-compact cars make less than the $19.10 hourly average U.S. manufacturing wage and lack traditional union retiree benefits.

“They’re making a wage where hopefully they can have a reasonable family life,” Michigan Governor Rick Snyder, a Republican, said in an interview at Bloomberg’s New York headquarters. “Everyone had to make some sacrifice. The cost structures were so high.”

Until now, autoworker pay has never dropped below the average industrial wage since Henry Ford instituted the $5-a-day wage for factory workers in 1914, according to a comparison of historic prevailing UAW wages provided by Ford in 2011 and pay data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.”

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-18 06:28:10

What a surprise!

 
Comment by WT Economist
2012-10-18 06:28:50

“They’re making a wage where hopefully they can have a reasonable family life,” Michigan Governor Rick Snyder, a Republican, said in an interview at Bloomberg’s New York headquarters. “Everyone had to make some sacrifice. The cost structures were so high.”

What did today’s retirees sacrifice?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 06:34:53

Future inflation may dictate your answer…

 
Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-18 06:35:04

“What did today’s retirees sacrifice?”

Stay tuned. It ain’t over.

 
Comment by michael
2012-10-18 06:45:58

“…paid to new unionized autoworkers.”

“What did today’s retirees sacrifice?”

good question.

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-10-18 07:17:01

They sacrificed tomorrow’s employees. “I got mine so screw you” works at all levels.

 
Comment by tukey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:29:25

“What did today’s retirees sacrifice?”

Not even relevant.

 
Comment by Weed Wacker
2012-10-18 12:39:38

I wonder more what the auto executives sacrificed.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 06:45:27

I always like the way the unions throw their younger “brothers” right under the bus.

Nothing like “I got mine - go f*ck yourself” but, of course, you will have to join the union AS A CONDITION of employment and have the same union dues taken out of your check BEFORE YOU EVEN GET YOUR PAYCHECK.

Freedom of choice? Freedom of association?

Oh - an we give 99% of your dues to one political party no matter if you agree or not.

It is one heck of a scam.

Comment by aragonzo
2012-10-18 07:10:27

Are these the same unions that are driving America to bankruptcy by pushing up wages so high that corporations are forced to go under or outsource?

Comment by tukey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:28:10

That’s our cabana boy!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 08:12:55

Technically, yes.

The only way to bring those jobs back is to 1) instill tarriffs which raises the price of everything, 2) compete on a pure cost basis, which will turn workers into 1890s-style tenement serfs and destroy the environment to boot, or to 3) create enough high-skill jobs that overseas labor is not qualified to do (yet).

1) is unacceptable to R’s, 2) is unacceptable to Dems. 3) sounds attractive but it’s probably not viable. We found out in the early 2000’s that overseas workers can do skilled work (think India). And honestly there are too many Americans who either don’t have the brains or the money to train for high-skill work.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 08:39:42

4) Create a business and regulatory environment that creates near-insatiable desire to set-up shop/produce in the United States.

 
Comment by zee_in_phx
2012-10-18 10:01:36

4) Create ’sweat shops’ and gut the regulations so we’re on par with 3rd world labor and living conditions for the serfs.

(there fixed it for you MB, why not come out say the obvious !!)

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 11:30:22

Sickening, but you’re probably right. Still, tho, it’s better to have the jobs here rather than there.

It’s not as if we are going to rely on Europe or Asia to pay for our entitlement programs. Right? Or depend on their military to protect us as we allow our “workers” to retire at age 50.

Might as well hit the skids now so that we can begin to rebuild that much sooner.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 15:00:07

Rebuild? Won’t that have to wait for when their workers (and all the workers of the world who live in places where corporations are willing to do business at all) are paid enough so that, with US productivity taken into account, our workers are paid no more than their workers?

Or are you also advocating for massive tariffs and closing down international trade?

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 16:57:42

No, I’m anti-tariff.

By rebuild, I mean returning to some semblance of what this country was established to be: A republic. We’ve strayed a long way from that.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 19:15:22

A republic. We’ve strayed a long way from that.

How are we not a republic?

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 19:26:14

Being a republic won’t allow American workers to live on the wages that compete with the wages paid to workers in Vietnam.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 10:11:18

Are these the same unions that are driving America to bankruptcy by pushing up wages so high that corporations are forced to go under or outsource?

Only 6.9% of private sector jobs are union. Therefore the answer to your misleading question is no.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by aragonzo
2012-10-18 16:07:09

I think you missed the sarcasm in my post. Certain people on this forum are always railing about how unions are destroying America by making corporations uncompetitive. Now that a union made lower wage concessions, they are now being blamed for not protecting their workers. In short, according to some posters, unions are evil because everything they do is evil, even if it is not. With attitudes like that, I am not surprised that the American standard of living is eroding.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 16:39:37

I think you missed the sarcasm in my post.

I’m sorry. Great points.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 12:25:41

Are these the same unions that are driving America to bankruptcy by pushing up wages so high that corporations are forced to go under or outsource?

I thought that the Big 3’s problems were antiquated engineering and low quality?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:14:40

Ford and GM have made a quality product for at least 15 years.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 14:11:57

They have, but it’s taken some time to shake off the image of poor quality they had. Many still refused to give them a second chance. And that forced them to discount heavily on cars.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-18 15:14:28

Plus even if the reliability is acceptable (what most people seem to mean when they say “quality”), that doesn’t mean they make what I want. I’m picky…I want more than just A to B transportation, and I want specific features. I’m not a brand snob, but they literally don’t make what I want. I wish they did.

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2012-10-18 07:38:08

It is one heck of a scam ??

And a scam that could end in California this November….

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 07:46:44

The union agreeing to a change in the pay structure for new hires is essentially the same as Ryan claiming that his plan is fine because it will only impact Medicare for those under 55.

I agree. It stinks.

Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 08:15:23

I suspect that retirees will be asked to give up the gold-plated health care and take Medicare.

We SO need a Medicare-for-all style public option.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 08:21:49

‘retirees will be asked to give up’

As long as they are just asked. But does the govt ask for things or do they tell us how it will be? And what if we don’t do what they say?

‘We SO need a Medicare-for-all’

Are you proposing we ask everyone if they want this? Or are you saying we all must take it?

See, voluntary involvement is kinda important to some of us.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-18 10:24:12

“…voluntary involvement is kinda important to some of us….”

I’d like to be consulted about spending public monies on drones, or maintaining armies on foreign borders, or bailing out banking executive’s bonuses, but I’m not. Yet because I ostensibly benefit from defense and banking infrastructure in this country — and because if everyone felt as I do and refused to take part until we confronted armed foreign soldiers in our city financial districts, we’d be in a pickle — I reluctantly help to pay for them.

Our medical system of research institutions, hospitals and clinics, outreach, training, and emergency services is the same sort of thing: we expect it to be there when we need it, but don’t want to pay for it until we do. And when we do, far too many of us claim it’s “too expensive” and leave someone else to pick up the bill.

Insurance is supposed to be our hedge here, but insurance — just like defense or education — can only work if there is a large enough actuarial pool to sustain the infrastructure. And until we institute a nationwide means of paying for it, we can’t.

Whether or not we admit to it, we ALL use our medical/health system every day of our lives, not just when we’re scooped off the pavement and brought into a trauma department, or keel over in an Arby’s with an infarct.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 10:25:03

Ben, if the govt bails out a company, then does’t the govt have the right to tell the company how it will be? No agree, no bailout for you? That’s why the UAW accepted $14/hour in the first place, I thought. I may be wrong.

Are you proposing we ask everyone if they want [Medicare for all]?

Hmm, let me rephrase. We SO need to convince enough people to voluntarily involve themselves by exercising their right to vote, and vote for Representitives and Senators and a President who will in turn vote for an appropriate Public Option insurance law.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 10:32:56

Medicare-for-all-who-want-it means that the insurance companies get to offload the sickest, most expensive people onto Medicare. I suspect you are not willing to pay taxes to fund it. Insurance premiums might not go down for healthy people, if the insurers decide to pocket the profit.

Medical costs and insurance premiums continue to rise faster than wages. Every year, more of us are priced out of necessary medical care. This is not sustainable. Eventually, we will see a drop in consumption of medical care. Fewer people wil buy insurance. Fewer people will see the doctor. A glut of doctors will lead to doctors going out of business or moving to countries with nationalized health care. Healthy people will forego insurance and use free clinics and emergency rooms for primary care.

Infectious diseases will be spread by people who cannot afford to see the doctor. Chronic diseases will become less chronic as people die from their complications.

What is the price of your voluntary involvement? Voluntary involvement in vaccinations has led to an increase in whooping cough.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 10:35:07

+1 gajilion, ahansen. Well said.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-18 10:39:11

Insurance premiums might not go down for healthy people, if the insurers decide to pocket the profit.

I’m sure they’d love to. However, I’d expect the premiums to be forced down significantly if there were a free-but-minimal option.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:43:19

TB is also making a comeback.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-10-18 10:55:38

+2 Ahansen…

The Country has a fundamental first question that needs to be answered before any discusion can occur beyond its answer…Is health care a right or a privilege in the USA ??

If its a privilege, then why she we be building and paying for free county hospitals and doctors and it should be every man for himself…

If its a right, then we should be working on cost effective solutions to provide it in a way that everyone is contributing something towards its cost…

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 11:02:35

‘because I ostensibly benefit…I reluctantly help to pay for them’

I suspect you pay for the same reason most do; because the IRS will take all your stuff and put you in jail if you don’t.

‘Insurance…can only work if there is a large enough actuarial pool to sustain the infrastructure’

Some of us think the reason health care is so expensive is because of insurance.

It doesn’t really matter; the new health care thing is law and we’re stuck with it. If DC was smart, they would sunset these things and say, ‘in ten years if costs aren’t lower we’ll scrap this system and do something else.’

But I expect it will be dragging us down the rest of my life, at least. Now that the govt can force me to pay for their insurance, I wonder what they will force me to do/buy next?

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 11:09:25

‘What is the price of your voluntary involvement’

Yeah, I know, expecting to live in a free country isn’t very popular anymore. I guess this is what happens when you put freedom to a vote.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-18 11:34:21

If DC was smart, they would sunset these things and say, ‘in ten years if costs aren’t lower we’ll scrap this system and do something else.’

I’m all for it. Let SS sunset too. Predicated on returning to me the money I contributed.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 11:36:57

I get it. Individual freedom is your highest value.

Are you prepared to force others to die for your beliefs? The uninsured die prematurely every day from lack of access to health care.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 11:47:46

Public health should be funded by everybody.

Do you really want to risk TB or whooping cough when they can be controlled by treating the infected or vaccination?

Free birth control opens up options to low income women to get IUDs or implants. It reduces pregnancies and abortions. It reduces the load on social programs and charities. These are common goods. Do you really want to live in a society like India where the poor are everywhere? How free are you in a place like Watts?

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-18 12:05:29

“I guess this is what happens when you put freedom to a vote.”

I’ve seen this happen for years in Arizona with the initiative and referendum process. Where the majority is free to vote away minority freedoms yearly. Time for a SUPER majority rule…say 75% or greater for any law that would raise a tax or affect the rights of citizens and businesses.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 12:06:58

Unless you happen to like large scale deadly plagues, public health should be a very high priority.

Mutated diseases don’t care how much money you have or what you believe in.

Evidently, the lesson of the Spanish Flu of 1918 has been forgotten. No problem, Nature WILL remind us again.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 12:14:37

‘Are you prepared to force others to die for your beliefs? The uninsured die prematurely every day from lack of access to health care’

I guess that’s the difference between you and me. I’m not forcing anyone to do anything, while you’ve apparently got a list of stuff you want forced on everybody.

‘The uninsured die prematurely every day’

Funny you mention that. I’m uninsured. Have been for many years. And I still don’t want the govt to stick a gun in your face and tell you to pay my bills.

‘Public health should be funded by everybody’

You might have heard we have a process. People are elected and are supposed to make laws, subject to constitution restrictions. Now, I believe this was put to a vote, and we got a law that the health insurance industry wrote.

So are you now saying it isn’t good enough? Dang, I think I’m dizzy! It must be whooping cough. Help, I’m uninsured and dieing prematurely!

 
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:19:09

‘The uninsured die prematurely every day’

When was the last time someone who was uninsured got turned away from the ER? It doesn’t happen and it’s something that big government leftists use to perpetuate lies to bring fear to everyone.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 13:30:04

I personally know 3 people who died young because they couldn’t afford early detection.

I know several other who would be dead if they didn’t have good insurance.

This is not abstract bull crap about philosophies, but real life and death.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 13:45:09

‘The uninsured die prematurely every day’

When was the last time someone who was uninsured got turned away from the ER?

Yea, the ER is the same as having good health-insurance and routine health care. Jeez.

 
Comment by josap
2012-10-18 13:45:10

Not turned away, stabilized and sent away.
Friend got hit by a car, hit & run. Emergency xrayed his broken elbow and sent him home.

It took a year for he and his wife to save enough and find doc & hospital who would discount the bill. Then, after a year of living in pain from a broken elbow, he was able to have it fixed.

But as the injury had been so long, his elbow was never right again.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 13:52:33

after a year of living in pain from a broken elbow, he was able to have it fixed (but) his elbow was never right again.

“Uniquely American”

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 14:18:12

“Not turned away, stabilized and sent away.”

Kind of hard to stabilize advanced cancer that could have been nipped in the bud with preventive care.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 14:18:21

“Uniquely American”

Prove it.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 15:16:59

I think I understand now. You have been boycotting the insurance companies.

 
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 15:32:11

It’s very big of healthy libertarians to say that there should be no health care for those without money or those that blow through the caps on their insurance or loose out in the market. Call us when you get colon cancer and can’t cover the curative surgery. Call us when your mother and father are sick and can’t pay for nursing home or hospice care.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-18 16:43:02

Bingo, scdave.

Our country gives lip service to medical care as a right, yet treats it as a commodity by expecting middleman to pick up - and profit from –the cost. Until we resolve this issue, how we implement public health care will remain a truncated mess. Personally, I like Ben’s suggestion that we give Obamacare a decade then put it up for a vote.

Then, no matter what we decide, there is the thorny issue of where to draw the line on what constitutes a public health need. Is obesity surgery a legitimate public medical expense? How about hepatic failure due to a lifetime of alcohol abuse? How about infertility? Tuberculosis acquired in one’s home country? Viral emergency? End-of-life hospice care?

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-18 16:57:11

“Now that the govt can force me to pay for their insurance, I wonder what they will force me to do/buy next?”

Houses, anyone? (Even if you don’t have to buy one, you may nonetheless find yourself forced to help somebody else pay their exorbitant mortgage…)

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 20:31:25

Call us when you get colon cancer and can’t cover the curative surgery.

They won’t call us. They won’t have to. They’ll get treated anyway,on our (those of us who do buy health insurance) dime.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 20:43:47

‘It’s very big of healthy libertarians to say’

What difference does it matter what libertarians say? We’ve got zero representation in congress. Whatever happens in the future, it has nothing to do with libertarians.

‘Call us when you get colon cancer and can’t cover the curative surgery. Call us when your mother and father are sick’

Yeah, when my grandfather died of colon cancer, the family wrote a check and that was that. The bill was not that high and nobody had health insurance then. When my dad had a cardiac arrest and was brain dead, we took him home and cared for him for 5 months until he passed. But now that all your failed policies have caused prices to exceed what any normal family can pay, you revel in the idea that some will get sick and not be able to pay for it. Wow, what a great caring bunch you are.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 20:54:52

The bill was not that high and nobody had health insurance then.

That’s because care was far more basic (and less successful- hence the far lower life expectancies) then. If you get sick today, you’ll want every possible procedure available to keep you alive, at least until there’s no rational hope left. Everyone does, when TSHTF. Some of us admit it in advance, and buy insurance. Others deny it, and live off those of us who do pay. They’re the deadbeats.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 21:08:58

‘you’ll want every possible procedure available to keep you alive…Everyone does’

When my granddad was dieing of colon cancer, he begged my mom to bring him a gun, the pain was so bad.

You know, just when I think I couldn’t dislike a poster more, I find that I can.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 21:18:40

When my granddad was dieing of colon cancer, he begged my mom to bring him a gun, the pain was so bad.

I’m sorry for him. Really. He had more balls than most.

just when I think I couldn’t dislike a poster more, I find that I can.

Because of his politics? Well. That’s just piss-poor.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 21:22:48

‘That’s just piss-poor’

I don’t like you either. You can piss off anytime and I won’t miss you one bit.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 21:37:28

I don’t like you either. You can piss off anytime and I won’t miss you one bit.

No. But I like you. Because you say you believe in freedom and liberty of thought, speech and ideas.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 22:04:01

just when I think I couldn’t dislike a poster more, I find that I can.

You should hear me after I’ve had a few.

BTW- All this opprobrium on me and Rio, and never a word about RAL’s bullying attempts to censor others’ speech? It’s stuff like this that makes me doubt the bona fides of many libertarians.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-18 22:15:07

“…You can piss off anytime and I won’t miss you one bit….”

I would, Ben. Just as I would miss your moderation of the conversation here, and the commentary of some of our more radical partisans. They add to our knowledge and challenge our preconceptions. We all need that; that’s why we come here.

The point is your Dad shouldn’t have had to suffer in pain AT ALL when society could have reasonably provided him palliative care in an at-home hospice situation at minimal cost. Surely he earned that as an American citizen?

More to the point, when you need it, so should you. Would that everyone in this country took the same personal responsibility for their health that you do. (Seriously.)
Yet what happens when circumstances beyond your control slam you into a brick wall of circumstance? Should we all just turn our backs and say, “Dang. Too bad our Ben didn’t have insurance”?

We spend hundreds of thousands, if not millions, prolonging the lives of people who by all reasonable standards would have died years ago but for taxpayer-subsidized technological intervention. At some point rationality and personal responsibility must come into our public health policy.

Those who care to pay for elective and exceptional services should be free to do so, but they shouldn’t expect the rest of us to provide it for them free of charge. Conversely, when responsible citizens confront exceptional adversity, there should be some sort of backstop beyond just setting a broken femur and saying, “okay, you’re on your own now. Good luck.”

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 22:40:43

‘your Dad shouldn’t have had to suffer in pain AT ALL’

My dad was dead before he hit the ground. We would never have strangers taking care of him for something so personal after that. We talked about it and decided we would take shifts 24/7 and that’s what we did.

When my granddad was dieing, the doctor told us the amount of morphine he was going to be given, at each stage. He said ‘at the end it won’t matter how much morphine we give him.’ He was right.

Your still skipping over the question of why prices are so high. Why were we able to cover almost all these costs out of pocket, not in ancient times, but when I was young? IMO it’s govt mandated insurance; that’s what’s changed. Now address that possibility. Because if that’s the case, many people have and will suffer because of it.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-18 23:01:37

Prices are so high because we allowed corporate and private middlemen into the equation between providers and patients.

Specifically, in 1982 the Reagan administration redefined Medicare to allow institutional providers to bill Medicare DIRECTLY instead of having patients submit billing to their insurers for reimbursement.

 
 
 
 
Comment by rudekarl
2012-10-18 07:25:40

“They’re making a wage where hopefully they can have a reasonable family life,” Michigan Governor Rick Snyder, a Republican, said in an interview at Bloomberg’s New York headquarters. “Everyone had to make some sacrifice. The cost structures were so high.”

What sacrifice did Gov. Dick make? I’m sure the non-union governor is making some pretty good coin for his figure-head job. Nothing like these well-off pricks talking about sacrifice and having a reasonable family life. I imagine he’s having quite an unreasonable family life.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-18 09:14:56

I know where he lives. And it’s in a very nice gated community in Ann Arbor.

 
 
Comment by tukey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:26:36

They are making nowhere near $19hr. All new hires make $14hr.

And they ARE NOT happy about it.

Tried living on $14hr lately? You sure as hell can’t raise a family on it.

Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 07:48:03

So, I hear that the richest counties in the United States are right outside Washington, D.C.

I wonder how much those 1%ers make, if one also takes freebies into account.

How do those counties tend to vote at election time?

How do union leaders tend to vote at election time?

Interesting, isn’t it?

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 07:52:37

can’t raise a family on it

Sure you can, by living 13 people in a 3 bedroom!

The future belongs to Lucky Ducky :)

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 07:54:53

Living expenses are now predicated on two incomes. That’s $56K a year. Trulia says that there are plenty of cutie-patootie SFH in, say, Dearborn MI, for under $50K. (and those homes are probably better than mine.) Not great, but doable.

Do those $14/hr jobs require a $100K college degree?

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:55:25

“Do those $14/hr jobs require a $100K college degree?”

No

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-10-18 09:48:26

Tried living on $14hr lately? You sure as hell can’t raise a family on it.

Then maybe they should have studied harder. Then maybe they should have chosen a different career path. Then maybe they should have gone out and tried to start their own business… their own company. Then they could pay themselves what they feel they deserve.

Sorry, nothing special about these people or the whining involved because others make more than they do.

Listen up, maggots. You are not special. You are not a beautiful or unique snowflake. You’re the same decaying organic matter as everything else.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 10:11:47

I thought that the point of having a healthy economy was so that everyone could live above poverty, not just the 120+ IQ crowd. We used to be able to do it.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 10:35:13

Commie talk!

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:47:50

Today’s social Darwinists forget that the not very smart people are and always have been the majority and when they get pissed, you end up on the wrong of that social Darwinism.

Marie Antoinette didn’t get it either.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 11:36:28

Not just the 120 IQ crowd, but the $120K a year crowd. Because those are the only kids who are going to be able to afford to “study harder” and “choose another career path” in college.

 
Comment by Hi-Z
2012-10-18 12:30:38

“I thought that the point of having a healthy economy was so that everyone could live above poverty, not just the 120+ IQ crowd. We used to be able to do it.”

Exactly when was it that everyone could live above poverty?

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 13:32:30

Everyone? It was never about everyone. It was about MOST people could live above poverty. Hell, they could even be middle class!

In case you missed it, the middle class is now a minority. Just barely, but a minority nonetheless.

 
Comment by Romney's Lies
2012-10-18 13:49:10

I personally believe that I should pay zero taxes, and we should raise them on the middle class. I create jobs. Like, shine my shoes boy. Now get to crackin’!

-Mitt

 
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 15:38:02

Sorry, nothing special about these people or the whining involved because others make more than they do.

Listen up, maggots. You are not special. You are not a beautiful or unique snowflake. You’re the same decaying organic matter as everything else.

What sort of IQ does an angry MOB need before they are able to mug you, break into your house, burn down the neighborhood, or shop lift stores out of your neighborhood? What sort of IQ do they need to get sick with TB not get medical care and then spread it around your town? What sort of IQ do these guys need to vote in a Chavez or a true communist or dictator?

You guys are F’n amazing.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-18 18:35:40

“What sort of IQ do these guys need to vote in a Chavez or a true communist or dictator?”

60 to 80. Some higher IQ folks may go for that idea having been politically indoctrinated by armchair revolutionary college professors.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 10:33:47

Then maybe they should have studied harder. Then maybe they should have chosen a different career path.

You miss the big picture Northeastener - the grand trend. The general health of large economies and societies are not solely based on the well being of the few who have “studied harder” or chosen “different career paths”.

When you have 10% of American compensation keeping pace but 90% of American compensation falling, just snarling that the 90% should try to do what the 10% does is mathematically and practically meaningless.

What made USA great was not that just 10% did well, what made America great was that 90% did well. Now this is not the case.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by snowgirl
2012-10-19 05:29:42

I think it’s just a matter of the unwinding not yet reaching the 10%’s industry or corporate tier yet. But the unwinding really hasn’t even begun. Those that think they’ve triumphed should really hold their laughter.

Our family income has not yet been touched. In fact it’s gotten even better in the last few years. But I’m not so arrogant to sniff at those who are already suffering. When people say those sufferering deserve what they get, I think they’re using denial as a mechanism to dismiss how much danger their future income is in. So although we might be one of them, I’m gonna giggle just a little when I see these holier than thou’s taken down a notch. Why do I believe the loudest whining will come from them? The rest of us that recognized the truth and prepared a hedge will quietly carry on when it happens.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:45:36

Yeah, damn shame that some people made the wrong choice of genetics and didn’t choose to be rocket science smart, ain’t it.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by mathguy
2012-10-18 13:37:22

The “choice” to “be smart” is laughable. Every kid I saw who “worked hard” ended up better than 80% of the rest of the students. It’s an insult to 90% of the STEM crowd to say they are genetically lucky. They know about all the parties they missed, sports they skipped, spring break vacations they gave up etc… to get where they are. Yeah, 10% of them were geniuses who had to do little or nothing to “get it”; the rest made it on long hours and ramen noodles. Now the 80% want to vote more tax increases on them because their hard work and sacrifice paid off.

Guess what, in the past Marie Antoinette had to worry about the “little people”. Now the STEM crowd might send predator drones out to take care of the “little people” if they start getting all riled up.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 13:50:14

Now the 80% want to vote more tax increases on them because their hard work and sacrifice paid off.

But your math does not address the math, “mathguy”.

Again:
When you have 10% of American compensation keeping pace but 90% of American compensation falling, just snarling that the 90% should try to do what the 10% does is mathematically and practically meaningless.

 
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 15:40:05

Guess what, in the past Marie Antoinette had to worry about the “little people”. Now the STEM crowd might send predator drones out to take care of the “little people” if they start getting all riled up.

Yep revolution even if you are armed is getting harder by the minute. You say oh look at Syria. Lots of foreign aid and covert ops are propping up those rebels. Same with Lybia.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 17:07:57

“They know about all the parties they missed, sports they skipped, spring break vacations they gave up etc”

I missed the parties because I was not invited. I missed the spring break vacations because there was no money for them.

I did participate in the sports. Growing up before Title IX, all I had to do was show up. In that era, playing sports hurt my social life.

Studying was not work. It was fun and interesting. Should I get credit for following my natural inclination? Should I denigrate those whose inclinations and abilities are not suited to a modern economy?

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-18 23:49:28

“…Then maybe they should have studied harder. Then maybe they should have chosen a different career path. Then maybe they should have gone out and tried to start their own business… their own company….”

Maybe they did? Maybe they played by the rules and got screwed by those who didn’t? Maybe you’re next in line? Maybe you shoulda studied harder?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:20:54

$14 per hour in most parts of Michigan is more than sufficient to raise a family in a typical 2 income family. To do it on your own is still doable.

Remember that we aren’t talking about particularly skilled labor here.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 13:35:31

Not skilled? You have NEVER worked in an assembly factory on the line.

As for raising a family on $14hr, you are so out of touch it’s not even funny.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:51:49

Nope, but since I’m from Michigan I have enough friends and family that I can weigh in on it. NOT SKILLED!

 
 
 
 
Comment by Romney's Lies
2012-10-18 10:00:55

Yippee! We’ve come full circle. Workers can no longer afford the products they are making. But, of course, they should be expected to still sign up for $300k houses. Lower demand for all big ticket items is the future.

Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 11:00:01

What, you want to talk about houses?

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 17:09:56

:) Good one, Lip.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 06:19:28

Posted: 6:22 p.m. Wednesday, Oct. 17, 2012

Floridians who lose homes to foreclosure may be doggedly pursued for unpaid mortgage debt

By Kimberly Miller

Palm Beach Post Staff Writer

Floridians who lose a home to foreclosure may be more doggedly pursued for their unpaid mortgage debt after a federal audit that says lender losses can be recovered by demanding payback.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/business/unpaid-mortgage-debt-targeted-for-revenue-stream/nSgFM/ - 76k -

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-18 06:29:24

No FB dollar shall be allowed to escape.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 06:36:15

“…doggedly pursued…”

Are we entering a New Era wherein unpaid debt is doggedly pursued?

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 06:38:12

send them a check cause they were duped by lenders.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 06:43:52

Argentina’s debt default
Caught napping
Hold-out creditors seize an Argentine ship in Ghana
Oct 13th 2012 | BUENOS AIRES | from the print edition

WHEN the Libertad, an Argentine frigate used for training naval cadets, arrived in Ghana on October 1st, the 220 crew members and 110 students on board expected a warm welcome. They had been greeted by their national anthem in Venezuela and invited to play a football match in Portugal. But officials in the port of Tema detained the ship, executing a legal injunction obtained by an American hedge fund.

The Libertad was the latest in a line of Argentine assets that the government’s creditors have tried to snatch. In 2001 the country ceased payment on $81 billion of bonds. Their price plunged, letting risk-seeking investors buy them for pennies.

Among the buyers was a fund run by Elliott Management, a New York-based outfit with a history of wringing money out of bankrupt countries. In 1996 it bought $11m of defaulted Peruvian paper, which allowed it to win $58m in court awards. Soon after, an Elliott fund spent $2.3m on the debt of Congo-Brazzaville. In 2005 it used this to intercept $39m from a state oil sale.

That same year, Argentina offered its creditors a bond swap, in which they would suffer a 65% loss. In 2010 it opened a similar exchange for investors who had skipped the first round. Holders of 93% of the debt accepted. But Elliott insisted on full face value plus past due interest.

A judge in New York has awarded Elliott $1.6 billion in claims against Argentina. However, the government has refused to pay. Although it has the money, everyone who accepted its debt-restructuring would be entitled to sue it for better terms if it met the fund’s demands.

So Elliott has put its lawyers to work. Along with other hold-outs, it wrested control of $90m from a trustee holding shares for a privatised Argentine bank and $23m from a leading mortgage bank. On its own, it has obtained $3.3m from an account held by the science ministry.

The hold-outs have also targeted more tangible prizes, such as the presidential plane. In 2010 Argentina held back choice artworks from a festival in Frankfurt for fear of German creditors. The government has tried to keep the Libertad away from countries where it might be at risk. In Ghana it seems to have miscalculated.

Argentina has reacted furiously to the seizure. The government called the fund “unscrupulous” and a “vulture”, and appealed against the injunction, saying the ship is protected by diplomatic immunity.

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 06:55:40

BAHAHAHAHAHAHA…!

It is always fun to watch scammers scamming other scammers.

Eventually, it will come down who has the most muscle. That is what loose fiscal policy usually ends in a war.

Argentina has reacted furiously to the seizure. The government called the fund “unscrupulous” and a “vulture”, and appealed against the injunction, saying the ship is protected by diplomatic immunity.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 17:11:29

“Libertad”

At first, I read this as Libtard. :)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-18 06:45:41

A bit dangerous to be among such a large group, no?

If the group was small then the trouble of setting up the legal machinery to go after members of the group would not be worth the effort.

But if the group is huge and the money is huge?

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 07:09:13

It sounds like it’s mostly aimed at strategic defaulters, as previous experiments with going after defaulters en masse ran into the problem that most of them had no money.

from the article:

In 2011, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac pursued 35,231 deficiencies nationwide with a combined total value of about $2.1 billion. Of that, just $4.7 million, or 0.22 percent, was actually recovered, according to Wednesday’s audit.

Wednesday’s report says it should not be “construed as encouragement to aggressively pursue borrowers who do not have the ability to pay their mortgages.” But it also notes that other such government agencies that have housing programs as the Department of Agriculture and Department of Housing and Urban Development emphasize seeking deficiency judgments against so-called “strategic defaulters.”

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 06:52:21

As predicted here in HBB.

A cottage industry will sprout up chasing these debts FOREVER.

It will be a growth industry for the next 20 years.

And there is no escaping your debts. You won’t be thrown in prison yet (although I posted an article a few weeks ago on how they are working on that) but debt will haunt you forever in this day where you can not hide (electronically).

Better to live below your means, only buy what you can afford and AVOID debt.

But that makes me an evil and wacky conservative who wants to starve children to some on this board.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 07:26:17

“Better to live below your means, only buy what you can afford and AVOID debt.

But that makes me an evil and wacky conservative who wants to starve children to some on this board.”

Whoever claims that living below your means makes one an evil and wacky conservative, please reveal yourselves now. I would like a full explanation of this thinking, as I also qualify as an ‘evil and wacky conservative’ by this criterion.

Since when is living within one’s means ‘evil’?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:36:18

It’s obviously not.

However, things changes. People lose their jobs, family emergencies/natural disasters/deaths/accidents/disease. Things that are beyond anyone’s control… and it takes time to readjust.

This is the situation of most people.

The spendthrifts are obviously their own problem.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 07:58:37

Things that are beyond anyone’s control

We’re calling BS, birdboy. There are NO circumstances that can’t be over come by good old-fashioned, rugged individualist, bootstrapping!

“You work three jobs? How uniquely American” - George W. Bush

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horatio_Alger_myth

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:44:00

When you apply these same principles to governments and politicians.

Whoever claims that living below your means makes one an evil and wacky conservative, please reveal yourselves now. I would like a full explanation of this thinking, as I also qualify as an ‘evil and wacky conservative’ by this criterion.

Since when is living within one’s means ‘evil’?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 10:08:55

I think you deliberately misinterpret arguments against tax cuts for the wealthy as a part of a plan to balance the budget.

If balancing the budget is the objective, then both spending cuts and tax increases is a fair approach.

What Republicans are proposing is tax cuts, spending cuts for social programs, and spending increases for defense. This is not a recipe for deficit reduction. The effect will be shifting costs from those who earn the most to those who earn less. They know this, but deliberately obfuscate the effects on the middle class.

Cutting social programs means more hungry, desperate poor people who will be the neighbors of middle class folks.

What I don’t understand is why you think you are immune from the Dickensian future this plan will bring about.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:50:04

They don’t even understand what “Dickensian” means or why it’s a bad thing.

 
Comment by mathguy
2012-10-18 13:43:01

Let’s be clear here. No party is proposing any kind of spending cut. At most some party is proposing a smaller than standard increase and calling it a “cut”. The dems are just as bad as the repubs or vice versa.

 
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 15:45:46

What I don’t understand is why you think you are immune from the Dickensian future this plan will bring about.

Because he’s been a boot licker he believes that those with boots will let him sleep on the porch.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-18 17:22:44

“Let’s be clear here. No party is proposing any kind of spending cut. At most some party is proposing a smaller than standard increase and calling it a “cut”. The dems are just as bad as the repubs or vice versa.”

One party is proposing spending cuts for programs they don’t like. They have proposed completely cutting PBS Planned Parenthood.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 22:30:45

Let’s be clear here.

You’re clearly full of it. Thanks for the misinformation, masquerading as “plain talk”.

 
 
 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-10-18 07:50:21

You’re persecuted for being a gullible, reactionary lackwit, not for living within your means.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 08:26:58

The problem is not living within your means. The problem is that the “living” is costing more and more and the “means” is getting less and less. To the point where living within your means leads to chasing cheaper right into a bad ‘hood, or living on Ramen, or training the guys in India who will take your job.

The “evil conservative” part comes in where it’s the individual who is blamed for not keeping up his means, even if he did everything right (worked hard, college, didn’t cash out refi, didn’t buy the Escalade etc).

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:25:06

“The problem is that the “living” is costing more and more and the “means” is getting less and less.”

What causes this and how can it be fixed under our present system?

My answer is the Fed and it can’t.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 15:48:49

My answer is the elite who extract more and more revenue from the gov but pay effective tax rates of <10%. They extract more and more from the economy outsourcing jobs and raiding companies pension funds. They extract more and more from the exonomy by manipulating markets. They extract more and more from the economy by getting bailed out when their bets are bad. They extract more and more from the economy by borrowing massive amounts at 0 % and loaning it to the masses at 5-30%.

 
 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 09:11:57

I think those businesses were already around, but they were generally buying credit card debt and pursuing that.

This opens up a whole new line of business for those with calculators and sacks of doorknobs as their tools…

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 10:39:01

Better to live below your means, only buy what you can afford and AVOID debt….But that makes me an evil and wacky conservative

No, it’s not that.

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:26:49

“No, it’s not that.”

According to Rio it’s the fact that you might want to keep your money so you can decide what’s best for you as opposed to the government.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 13:38:04

An idea that has been proven century after century the antithesis to the very concept of “society”.

In other words, how’s that working out for Somalia?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 13:56:22

According to Rio it’s the fact that you might want to keep your money so you can decide what’s best for you as opposed to the government.

Bad Andy, you’re FOS as usual. I only think the BushTaxCutsForTheRich should expire on the rich. I don’t think for a second that 2bananna (or you) are rich.

 
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 14:03:17

And I think the bush tax cuts should be abolished entirely. The system needs to be scrapped. Too many loopholes that benefit too few. An efficient tax code wouldn’t allow for deductions at all.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 15:22:45

Things that have been added to the tax code since the Reagan simplification:

Deduction of student loan interest
Life long learning tax credit
Another education tax credit whose name I don’t remember
increases to the amount of retirement money that can be saved in tax deferred accounts
Child tax credit
Additional child tax credit
Flex spending accounts (for health expenses, dependent care and one other category)
Child care deduction
various credits for insulating homes and/or buying electric cars
cap gains elimination on selling a house every two years even if you don’t buy another house rather than only getting to do that once
capital gains taxed at much lower rates than ordinary income
“carried interest” getting taxed as capital gains

There are plenty of others that the last tax simplification did leave in like MID, exemption for employer provided benefits, etc.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 16:20:33

““carried interest” getting taxed as capital gains”

This was not added to the tax code, but inherent in “flow through” entities–which only made a difference once there was a difference between capital gains and ordinary income.

If I’m wrong, I would like you to explain when between 1986 and now it was added.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 16:23:19

@Bad Andy:

I agree. I find it hypocritical that the Obama team likes to point to the Bush tax cuts as a major reason for the deficit, yet they aim to keep 80% of them (the estimate I saw was $4T over 10 years for all the cuts, and $800B of that coming from the top bracket), and make them permanent.

If people are worried about the impact on the economy, how about setting up a glide path to their removal, so people have time to adjust?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 16:38:05

I find it hypocritical that the Obama team likes to point to the Bush tax cuts as a major reason for the deficit, yet they aim to keep 80% of them

Something is not adding up.

“A distributional analysis of the 2001-08 tax changes shows that the top 1% of earners (making over $620,442) received 38% of the tax cuts. The lower 60% of filers (making less than $67,715) received less than 20% of the total benefit of Bush’s tax policies….

The Bush-era tax cuts were designed to reduce taxes for the wealthy, and the benefits of faster growth were then supposed to trickle down to the middle class. But the economic impact of cutting capital gains rates and lowering the top marginal tax rates never materialized for working families. Inflation-adjusted median weekly earnings fell by 2.3% during the 2002-07 economic expansion, which holds the distinction for being the worst economic expansion since World War II.” epi dot org

 
 
 
 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 07:51:49

Good. This should continue for the next 20 years if need be.
It’s a shame that so many can get away with it as the indecipherable trail of mortgage holders serves as the excuse not to pay one’s debt.

Of course, lots of people on the other side should be in the pen.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 06:28:40

Anyone who has driven much around the American Southwest in recent years has doubtless seen their share of “ghost” housing tract home developments. I see a few in construction these days along my daily commute route, in fact (”From the low-$600s” etc).

But imagine relocating your family to a huge modern city, only to find it nearly devoid of human occupants. It would indeed be a haunting experience.

How China will allocate resources to maintain empty cities should be an interesting spectacle going forward.

A Surreal Skateboarding Journey Through China’s Infamous Ghost Town
By Alessandra Ram
Oct 15 2012, 4:36 PM ET

In this video, director Charles Lanceplaine follows a group of skaters looking to try their tricks in a new and different environment — only to discover a glittering, modern city devoid of human occupants.

Originally built to house one million residents, the city of Ordos in northern China is now almost completely deserted. Despite China’s much-lauded building boom, soaring property prices have kept occupants at bay. Ordos is now the largest ghost town in China — thought to be a stark example of China’s impending real estate bubble.

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 06:58:17

I always wonder about these “ghost” towns.

Housing stock goes to crap pretty quickly without maintenance.

Is anyone maintaining these buildings and houses?

Oh well, if not, they can always pass a “Stimulus” spending bill to tear them down and re-build them in order to get ‘China Working Again”

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-18 07:30:22

Ghost cities are not new. However, the scale is much greater.

I remember ghost suburbs in Texas in the mid-1980s. Flying in to Houston Intercontinental (LOL) you’d see a new suburb below quickly change (at about 180 MPH) from streets of completed houses to weathering frame skeletons to poured slabs to just paved streets to just curbed future streets.

Farther back, in 1974, we bought a new house just before mortgage rates zoomed into the double-digit range and for close to a year we and one other family were the only occupants of about 100 houses in the newest section of a suburban Virginia community.

Comment by pdmseatac
2012-10-18 10:18:15

I remember the ghost developments in Huston from that era. I was an oilfield worker and used to fly in and out of Huston several times a month. There were square miles of deserted developments - very eerie, especially at night.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by pdmseatac
2012-10-18 10:20:29

Oops, I meant “Houston”.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 07:34:21

“Housing stock goes to crap pretty quickly without maintenance.”

Exactly. Imagine a whole city with few inhabitants around to even notice the developing cracks in the streets and buildings.

I suppose so long as oil and bulldozers are still readily available, the potential exists to provide local economic stimulus through razing buildings as they begin to crumble.

October 16, 2012 at 1:32 pm
City, state deal to provide $10M for vacant building demolition in Detroit
By Darren A. Nichols
The Detroit News

Detroit — The Detroit City Council this morning approved two agreements with the state that will allow for about $10 million more to be spent on demolishing vacant structures.

The council approved an agreement between the city and the Michigan Land Bank Track Authority to demolish about 1,200 privately-owned and city-owned buildings. The plan puts on the fast track the demolition of long-vacant structures in Detroit, particularly near schools.

“It’s going to be some of the most horrendous houses (that) will be torn down,” Council President Pro Tem Gary Brown said. “(With) $10 million from the state, along with the fire escrow account and the other funds that building and safety engineering has in their coffers, (it) should make a huge impact. Citizens will actually see a difference in their neighborhoods.”

Councilman Andre Spivey said the agreement is a good example of how the city and state can collaborate to implement some needed fixes in Detroit.

“The state took a big step in this demolition project today. Let’s see what they do for us as we move on,” Spivey said.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 07:39:23

‘…“Stimulus” spending bill to tear them down and re-build them in order to get ‘China Working Again”…’

I. THE BROKEN WINDOW

Have you ever witnessed the anger of the good shopkeeper, James B., when his careless son happened to break a square of glass? If you have been present at such a scene, you will most assuredly bear witness to the fact, that every one of the spectators, were there even thirty of them, by common consent apparently, offered the unfortunate owner this invariable consolation - “It is an ill wind that blows nobody good. Everybody must live, and what would become of the glaziers if panes of glass were never broken?”

Now, this form of condolence contains an entire theory, which it will be well to show up in this simple case, seeing that it is precisely the same as that which, unhappily, regulates the greater part of our economical institutions.

we arrive at this unexpected conclusion: “Society loses the value of things which are uselessly destroyed;” and we must assent to a maxim which will make the hair of protectionists stand on end - To break, to spoil, to waste, is not to encourage national labour; or, more briefly, “destruction is not profit.”

Comment by michael
2012-10-18 07:57:37

“…or, more briefly, “destruction is not profit.”

unless you are a “defense” contractor.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-18 22:41:05

“destruction is not profit.”

Then why does everyone say WW2’s destruction was the reason FDR’s New Deal/Keynesian economic theory was so successful?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 06:28:41

Associated Press - Average student loan debt up again for new college grads:

“Two thirds of the national college class of 2011 finished school with loan debt, and those who borrowed walked off the graduation stage owing on average $26,600, up about 5 percent from the class before.

The latest figures come at a time of increasing alarm about the sheer scope of student debt nationally, which by some measures has surpassed $1 trillion. Recent government figures show nearly 10 percent of borrowers of federal student loans in the most recently measured cohort had already defaulted withing two years of starting repayment.

Figures analyzed by Northeastern University’s Center for Labor Market studies last spring did find 53.6 percent of bachelor’s degree holders under age 25 were either unemployed or working in positions that don’t fully use their skills or knowledge.”

Here’s your Recovery®. Tell us again about “pent-up demand” NAR-Scum.

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 06:45:49

their debt will be erased and bought by the FED once it is determined they were duped by unscrupulous predatory lenders.

Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 07:56:31

Yep.

Coming soon to a Generation X pocketbook near you.

Gen-X will be continue to pay the tab for today’s 60+ crowd, and also will be responsible for all the student loans while seeing their own incomes continuing to shrink. Such a deal.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:00:31

$26,000 in debt with no or a low end job.

Make that $300 payment every month kiddies!

For the next ten years. Without FAIL.

Don’t be late. The Feds will come after you real quick with a big hammer.

But keep voting democrat! Hope and change! Forward!

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:38:15

The current student loan industry was created by Repubs.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 07:41:59

Stop harshing on 2banana’s anti-Democrat diatribe!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-10-18 07:53:10

His imaginary audience doesn’t believe you.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by michael
2012-10-18 07:59:08

both candidates were pimping debt slavery this past tuesday.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 08:37:19

Yup. Tripping over each other promising the guaranteed availability of debt slavery for all. Neither directly answered 20 year old Jeremy Epstein’s question.

Now back to your regularly scheduled discussion about “binders”.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-18 11:00:35

both candidates were pimping debt slavery this past tuesday.

That is there main goal. Cheerleading citizenry to enter debt slavery. The are the Royal Pimps. Yes. Both of them.

And never forget their paid minions and hacks propagandizing through every media outlet. They’re even right here on this blog.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 15:24:59

See the Amazon link I posted at the top. The comments are hilarious.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-18 16:52:06

Outstanding!

 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 09:56:36

Turkey Lurkey,

“The current student loan industry was created by Repubs”???

How so? I mean I wouldn’t put it past them, but why would the Republicans do this?

Our current system is designed to allow professors to overcharge their customers (the students), all for the purpose of indoctrinating our children that the government’s going to take care of all of your needs, plus all Republicans are evil.

I don’t buy it unless you have some proof (and I really don’t doubt that the Repub’s would be so stupid)

Lip

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:30:46

It’s not the current system of student loans. The current system of student loans was government takeover of student loans brought on by the Obama administration.

Government takeover of loans does nothing to address the cost of education!

 
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 18:45:40

Please Bad Andy

You can’t possibly believe that banks lending money to students with federal backing up any losses and rules allowing them to pursue debtors indefinitely is a free market.

They were basically stripping wealth from the government and students.

Now if they were making the loans without federal backing then you could say that government took over the business but they weren’t they were basically taking money from the gov loaning to the students with a federal guarantee that they wouldn’t loose money. They were wealth strippers.

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 10:07:35

So you’re saying that if Mitt wins, college will be free?

 
Comment by pdmseatac
2012-10-18 13:49:43

Sallie Mae was formed in 1972 during the Nixon administration. Although Nixon was a republican, congress was dominated by the democrats at that time.
Sallie Mae gave a $250,000 contribution to GW Bush’s inauguration in 2005.
Nelnet, the other big originator and collector of student loans, has made numerous contributions to both parties in the current election cycle. You can research to whom and how much very easily using Google. The contributions are balanced almost 50/50 between the parties - it’s public information. To say that only democrats have been involved in creating the student loan scam while honest forthright republicans have been valiantly struggling against it, is a lie that anyone with an open mind and an internet connection can expose with a few minutes of research.

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 14:04:37

Research doesn’t matter to the people on this board who only spew party propaganda.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 15:40:17

There is nothing wrong with student loans if you restrict their availability to actual poor people. People who couldn’t even think about going to college without a loan. Those people were outside the market for colleges without loans. With the loans, they can pay $L for college plus maybe a tiny bit more. That is all they have available.

When you make loan money available to people who are already middle class and could pay for college when it cost $x to go, well, those people can now pay $x plus their loan amount, because that is what is available to them. They were already in the college market, but now the colleges can charge them $x plus $L. Now, all of a sudden, the colleges are charging $x+L and the poor people are cut out of the loop again.

How do you fix it? Make private student loans entirely dischargable in a bankruptcy of the student. No more protection. The loans will dry up overnight. Then restrict the government backed loans (yes, they have to be government backed because no one would lend much of anything to an 18 year old otherwise) to ONLY poor people. Really poor kids. Make them take a financial basics class including extensive explanation of their responsibilities before they get the loan. No discharge in bankruptcy. No discharge after paying for 10 years. Keep the amounts smallish. No loans for middle class kids. No loans for rich kids. None of this “your parents income doesn’t count if you are 22″ stuff. We know who is paying. If your parents are rich and refuse to pay, get a merit scholarship or save up. Oh, and if your parents refuse to fill out the forms, you can find a way to prove they are as poor as you say or we will assume they are rich.

Now, how the colleges who have bonds outstanding to build the state of the art fitness center will adjust to the new, reduced revenue stream, I have no idea.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-18 16:58:03

“Really poor kids. Make them take a financial basis class including extensive explantion of their responsibilities before they get the loan.”

“Hey kid, where do you live?”

“Where do I live for real or where do I live on paper?”

“How about both.”

“For real I live with my rich parents. On paper I live with my poor grandparents who - on paper - are barely able to get by on Social Security.”

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 17:54:44

Polly, it would work, but you would lose an entire generation of educated kids during the college bankruptcy bloodbath that would ensue.

I think a kinder and gentler partial solution is find ways to work and avoid college — or at least avoid 4 years of unnecessary electives when 18 months of specialized training will suffice.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 20:34:36

The transition would either have to be brutal or very, very long (as in the new rules don’t apply if you took out your loans under the new system). I don’t see another way. There is no reason to provide government backed loans to people who are already middle class or even wealthy. Just as there is no reason to provide government backed/subsidized mortgages at a time when renting is cheaper than buying. When buying is cheaper - yes, it can give a family a new option for lower priced housing if they are too poor to be able save when their rents are higher than a realistic monthly nut. But you don’t do it when the alleged “leg up” is just going to make them worse off.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-19 00:18:00

Excellent Polly. I would add to your restrictions that the loan or grant be paid directly to the bursar’s office for on-campus expenses (tuition, board, food, books) to circumvent those who take their grants and use them to buy a new car or spend a “pre” semester in Las Vegas studying poker strategies.

 
 
 
 
Comment by S Carton
2012-10-18 07:23:21

$26,600 doesn’t include parent plus debt, helocs, borrowed money from 401k’s and money from grandma. The total borrowed cost is staggering. Contrary to popular belief Pell grants, stafford loans and other gov’t grants are very small. Most of college payments are made by parents co-signing unsubsidized loans. Income based stafford loans cap out at $5,000/yr.. Gov’t Pell grants have been reduced for 35 years. If you still believe minorities go to school for free, check the facts.

 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-18 08:57:07

I recently walked into a university bookstore. The average textbook price was around 200 USD.

Unreal.

They’ve instituted a “textbook rental” program where you can rent the book for about 130-150 dollars a semester. I kept my textbooks and they’ve come in handy over the years. I never had a single book even close to those prices, even those weird low-run upper-level elective class textbooks.

What the government is doing to the next generation is unconscionable. In Maryland, the government has aligned with predatory gambling interests in order to rake in contributions and revenue. On a national level, the government has allied with a predatory financial sector to do the same.

Debt and gambling. Two devastating ways governments prey upon the citizenry.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 09:16:04

Wow. I remember when I was a student, books were expensive…a full load quarter could be upwards of $500…if every book you got was new (an expensive book then was $60-$70).

$200 is ridiculous.

Fortunately, I think cost of textbooks is one thing that technology is bound to drive lower.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-18 09:23:45

I’m with you on the technology driving costs down. A lot of what’s covered in textbooks could better be handled with interactive audio and video.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 10:06:16

Does it really cost that much to print a textbook?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-18 10:35:57

Of course not, but it’s like any industry where the first one costs a lot to create and you’re not going to sell very many. Then having a small target market that must buy them to reach their goal allows the gouging to commence. I’ve seen professors write their own book knowing they could force their students to buy them. Then if they can convince any other professor to use them, that’s just gravy. Probably not a huge payoff for the number of hours spent, but that doesn’t seem to deter them. Maybe it’s an ego thing, as well as being easier to teach from something you wrote.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 10:41:28

No it doesn’t. Text book publishers are like big pharma.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 11:09:22

The cost that is impossible to understand is the cost to continually update the book. I’m sure this is where the argument is made for higher prices.

And this is where technology will make it cheaper to disseminate the knowledge.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-18 10:48:55

I guess $50 a book on kindle is out of the question…..

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:52:58

It’s not the government. There is no government. There are only the corporations.

You have problem with Corporate Communist Capitalism, comrade?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-19 00:24:37

Make them available on Kindle.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 06:35:35

Washington Post - U.S., Israel to stage major defense exercise:

“The United States and Israel are preparing to stage a major joint-missile and air-defense drill in Israel later this month, an exercise that will showcase the allies’ longtime military partnership as they debate how to handle the Iranian nuclear threat.

About 1,000 U.S. troops are en route to Israel for the drill, in which they and Israeli soldiers will use American and Israeli anti-missile defense systems and a U.S. missile defense ship to respond to simulated attacks from multiple fronts, according to the commanders heading the operation.”

October surprise? LOLZ

Comment by scdave
2012-10-18 08:02:10

Practice round ??

Comment by Spook
2012-10-18 10:25:37

Is it me? or do the countries being targeted for invasion seem to be getting whiter and whiter?

This will end badly.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-18 10:40:59

Maybe the less-white are running out of stuff worth taking?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-18 10:58:30

The afghanis have great dope from what i hear….no sense letting the Taliban back in power they burned all the poppy fields last time they took over.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 06:45:48

NAR spokes-whore Amy Hoak pimping on MarketWatch - Down-payment funds out there for the taking:

“One of the most common reasons given for why people can’t buy a home in this market is the down payment: they just can’t afford to put a sizable chunk of cash down.

Today’s down-payment assistance goes to those who are fully expected to be successful as homeowners. They are often required to take classes on what it takes to maintain a home before they’re eligible for the funding. And they get some of the safest mortgage products on the market.

While the money is out there, many people who would qualify for funds don’t know these programs exist for them.

Down-payment assistance funds can come from a variety of sources, including state and local governments, lenders and employers. A tough economy may have changed the way some of them are able to fund the assistance, but many programs are still up and running.”

Because the path to Recovery® is by buying overpriced real estate.

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:03:40

Being able to save NOTHING to buy a house is God’s way of telling you that you should keep renting.

He is a hint. Middle of winter. It is a very cold and a big snow storm is coming. Your furnace just gave up the ghost.

Homeowner - I hope you have $3000 in the bank, a few days off from work and a back up plan.

Renter - call the homeowner and go back to sleep.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 11:12:20

furnace just gave up the ghost…..Renter - call the homeowner and go back to sleep. (hoping the landlord has $3000 in the bank)

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 12:23:12

This reminds me of my renter days. One day, we had no water in our apartment. No problem, they allowed us to use the, at the time, unoccupied apartment next door to shower. A week passes by, still no water. I complain. I’m told to go pound sand and keep using the shower next door. I ask for an estimate when it will be fixed. No answer. At that point I started looking for another apartment. So I move out by the end of the second week (still no water). Then to add insult to injury, they tried to keep my deposit as well (I did get it back after calling some gov’t agency)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-18 12:36:12

Amy Hoak is Marketwatch resident Housing Hooker.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 06:46:54

More Sacramento-area families crowding into shared homes, census says
The Sacramento Bee | October 18, 2012 | By Phillip Reese and Hudson Sangree

Despite the fledgling economic recovery, more than 180,000 Sacramento-area residents live in homes stuffed with more than one occupant per room, a trend that has grown since the start of the recession, new U.S. Census Bureau data show.

These residents are usually poor or on the precipice of poverty, caught between the vise of high rent and high unemployment and just one fragile step above homelessness.

They’re people like Monica Ramirez, who shares a three-bedroom Rancho Cordova home with three other adults, an autistic boy and eight other children, taking turns sleeping on the couch, bed or floor.

Between 2007 and 2011, the number of Sacramento households living in rental housing with more than one person per room jumped from roughly 18,000 to 24,000, a 30 percent increase, census figures show.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 07:06:16

13 people in a three bedroom? We bet they’re great neighbors, LOLZ. Clean, quiet, hard working folks just bootstrapping for their piece of the American dream, trying to put food on their family.

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:21:09

They neighbors get even better when you live in a “Sanctuary City”

Comment by Young Deezy
2012-10-18 08:26:37

Hey now, Sac isn’t a sanctuary city..at least not yet. The idea has been floated by the chief of police, of all people. I have no problem with this, as it’s worked out so well elsewhere. /sarcasm

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 08:27:54

“More than one person per room” doesn’t have to mean 13 people in a 3 bedroom.

My very nice rental building in a tony DC suburb allows 2 people per bedroom. That means 6 people can live in a three bedroom. If you don’t count the bathrooms, that is 6 people in 3 bedrooms, plus one very small kitchen and one fairly large living room. 6 people. 5 rooms. Now, in a house, you might get down to one person per room because the dining room would be considered a separate room, though it clearly isn’t in my apartment building - no doorway or any amount of wall separates the dining area from the living room. So read these stats with a grain of salt. Just because the examply they talked about was 13 people in a 3 bedroom doesn’t mean that is typical of the statistic they cited.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 06:48:31

Statistical payback time?

Oct. 18, 2012, 8:58 a.m. EDT
U.S. initial jobless claims jump to 388,000
Data show sharp reversal from prior week caused by seasonal quirk
By Jeffry Bartash, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits last week shot up to a three-month high, reversing a sharp decline in the government’s prior report caused by a seasonal quirk that showed first-time claims at a four-year low.

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 06:54:49

walmart is hiring for the xmas season?

 
Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 06:56:42

Maybe they included California this time.

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 07:48:54

“Maybe they included California this time.”

They did.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 06:49:44

Oct. 18, 2012, 2:57 a.m. EDT
Euro nations try to limit Spain exposure: WSJ
By Barbara Kollmeyer

MADRID (MarketWatch) — Euro-zone governments are hoping they will only need to make a small contribution to any Spanish bailout request, with the European Central Bank making up the bulk, according to a report in The Wall Street Journal on Thursday, citing senior officials. These governments hope that they will need to earmark much less than €100 billion ($130.55 billion) from their €500 billion bailout fund, and expect the ECB would then start buying Spanish bonds. The senior euro-zone officials also expect the Spanish government will sign up for economic-policy overhauls to its labor market and controls on regional spending. “The quantity of money [contributed from the bailout fund] is a secondary condition, even though not totally unimportant,” said a senior official, who added that potential financing provided by the European Stability Mechanism would likely be well under €100 billion.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 06:52:54

From CNBC: Weekly applications for U.S. unemployment benefits jumped 46,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 388,000, the highest in four months. The increase represents a rebound from the previous week’s sharp drop. Both swings were largely due to technical factors.

The sharp drop was due to California not reporting all the data which allowed the Obama administration to claim they were down to the lowest in about four years. I am certain this error had nothing to do with CA wanted to make sure no bad data was out before the debates on the economy. Just like I am certain that the fact that the debates will not longer be about the domestic issues has nothing to do with us now getting correct data. If we are no longer lied to and data manipulated, the unemployment rate for October will be above 8% when reported.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 07:08:17

On the political front: The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history

Two non-poll tea leaves 1. gold is weak, the election of Romney would be a short term negative for gold due to his position on helicopter Ben. In the longer term, until interest rates turn positive real term, I expect gold to continue to rise and I don’t see that happening for a while. 2. I think even more telling is the Fox News ratings are rising and MSNBC are dropping. There is a strong and I think unfortunate tendency for people to only listen to news stations which support their opinions. Thus, since more people are turning to Fox, I think it is logical to assume more people are ready to vote for Romney.

Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 07:36:30

Yes, and the Fox News ratings have been rising since it’s inception and MSNBC’s has been slumping for many years (maybe since Fox News opened shop).

Does that mean that more and more conservatives are being transformed as time progresses?

An example could be your Susana Martinez who is the current Governor of New Mexico. Martinez, originally a Democrat, became a Republican in 1995, when she discovered to her dismay that she was one.

There must be many more Spanish speaking people that are in the process of discovering that they’re also Republican. Any chance that New Mexico, currently leaning to Obama, could go to Romney?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 07:44:23

Very little with Gary Johnson in the race. As a former Republican governor of the state, he will draw too many votes. A Republican winning is an uphill battle without such a candidate. Without him, it might have been possible due to the large number of Mormons in the state.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by scdave
2012-10-18 08:11:39

Thus, since more people are turning to Fox, I think it is logical to assume more people are ready to vote for Romney ??

Maybe….But, you could get every voter, in every red state to tune into to FOX and it would not increase or decrease the electoral votes for those states one bit now would it…

This thing comes down to Ohio & Iowa…..And it will be the women that decide it…

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 08:46:55

Scdave, it does not increase their electoral votes but it does increase the chance the electoral votes will be for Romney. As far as that vote, women will decide it and men will decide it. Democrats will win the women’s vote and Republicans will win the men’s vote. This happens every cycle. The key is by how much each side wins. Right now Gallup has the dems winning the women’s vote by a narrow margin and Republicans winning males by a large margin. I have not seen a breakdown of Rasmussen’s polls. I trust him more. If he ever finds Romney ahead by five prior to allocating undecided, I would call the election right now since it would be virtually impossible to make up that big of a gap now.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 09:04:42

The increased viewership increases the chances that Iowa and Ohio vote for Romney since the premise that Fox is just increasing it viewership in “Red States” is without any basis.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 09:08:25

Actually I do have the breakdown for Rasmussen:

The president leads by four among women, while Romney is up by 10 among men.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 10:13:20

What about the white vote, especially white elderly votes? Didn’t Dems basically shoot themselves in the foot by trying to look hip and cool with single women and minorities?

It’s a serious question. Please don’t say it’s racism.

 
Comment by Spook
2012-10-18 10:37:35

Good question Ross.

Also, what about the stealth Romney vote? Lots of people may secretly vote for Romney when they close that curtain?

Plus, many black people will not openly come out against Obama for fear of being put on a black “black list”; when that happens, even white people can’t help you.

“once you go against Obama, you must hate your momma”

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 14:02:49

Also, what about the stealth Romney vote? Lots of people may secretly vote for Romney when they close that curtain?

I doubt there’s a big chunk out there. I mean those who didn’t vote Obama last time around aren’t going to be bothered again. The ones who voted for Obama, since they already proved that they are no “racis”, they will not be aplogetic about this time to vote Romney.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2012-10-18 11:07:49

Scdave, it does not increase their electoral votes but it does increase the chance the electoral votes will be for Romney ??

Well, those electoral votes in red states are already Romney’s so if more of them are watching FOX then so what…Unless you can provide some basis for the increase in FOX viewership due to more viewers in Iowa & Ohio then the increase in FOX ratings does not mean much…

As far as the women vote being that close, I don’t believe it…I would be spending 80% of my campaign funds in Iowa & Ohio running ad’s on Paul Ryan’s support for “Personhood Legislation”..

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 15:17:10

Why would Fox’s viewership be rising in the United States but not in Ohio and Iowa, you really are reaching? In fact, logic would tell you that since the Red states were already satuated with Fox viewers so the most likely place to be picking up audience is the blue and purple states.

Look if you could pick voters like you pick a team and you had the same on both sides, which is what a tied polls means:
You would pick white voters over minority voters because history shows they are much more likely to vote.

You would pick wealthy voters over poor voters for the exact same reason.

You would pick old voters over the young for the exact same reason.

You would pick women and men but there is not a large gap between their voting patterns and historically that was not the case but I think a lot of male voters stayed home the last few election cycles due to unappealing candidates. But even within that group you would pick married women over single women and guess how married women vote? Pro Republican.

Thus, it is very clear that Romney has the historically better voters and thus even a tie is not a tie. However, he has a two point lead in the Rasmussen poll and now a 7 point lead in Gallup so he is not tied. Clearly, the last debate has not helped Obama. Like I said Wednesday, Obama bet the farm making Romney an unacceptable candidate, every debate just makes him more acceptable. Obama can win a debate on style but as his record gets laid out, he loses votes.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 15:36:31

Clearly, the last debate has not helped Obama.

Clearly it has and will a lot. Reason: There were way more gotcha moments (at Romney’s expense) and internet meme’s coming from this debate than from the first. (binders, lol) Your polls don’t reflect the debate yet. You are babbling.

This debate also fired up the Dem’s base and the ground game.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 15:42:57

women over men not women and men

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 16:09:54

Sorry Rio, they are tracking polls. You babble. Not all the days are post debate but the Rasmussen poll counts two days which were post debate out of three, although I would count it as 50% because one day had both post and pre debate results.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 16:30:17

Sorry Rio, they are tracking polls.

I know you are sorry. Especially when it comes to recognizing the implications of trends - economic or scientific. Now we shall see what we shall see on your political predictions. I’ll bet Romney’s 7 point Gallup poll lead will evaporate by next Tuesday. There is just too much laughing at Romney now all over the internet to not drop Romney’s numbers IMO.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-19 15:27:25

FiveThirtyEight, which looks at state-by-state electoral votes, not meaningless national polls, has Obama with a 70% chance of winning.

Ladbrokes Casino odds:

Obama 4 to 11 (bet $11 to win $4)

RMoney 2 to 1 (bet $1 to win $2)

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 11:30:48

the election of Romney would be a short term negative for gold due to his position on helicopter Ben.

Yea, short-term. About a week maybe. Why? Because we don’t know what Romney’s “position on helicopter Ben” would actually be if elected.

 
 
 
Comment by samk
2012-10-18 06:58:21

In the UK, Apple must apologize to Samsung:

http://apple.slashdot.org/story/12/10/18/1252210/in-uk-apple-must-run-ad-apologizing-to-samsung

“According to the order Apple will have to run an ads in leading UK newspapers as well its own website stating that Samsung did not infringes its products.”

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:42:48

Damn those foreign commie countries for interfering in the right of a corporation to lie.

 
 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 06:58:37

This ties in with what the end of the global real estate bubble might bring about:

‘Entitled in print “Bye-bye, globalization,” the piece argues that the world has reached the end of a marvelously heady time. The era of globalization, says David M. Smick, is now “cracking up.” He adds ominously: “And there appears to be no new model to replace it.”

‘The growth rate of total global exports, normally an engine for economic expansion, has collapsed. Even China and India, until recently considered outlier nations that could drive global growth, “have fallen victim to the seizing up of global trade.” The world seems headed toward a currency war, with at least twelve countries beyond China manipulating their currencies against the dollar for trade advantage. The free flow of capital also is being curtailed as banks become more and more nationalistic and nations erect regulatory barriers. In Europe, once a source of investment funding in the developing world, undercapitalized banks are bringing capital home, and it isn’t clear any other nation can fill the gap in foreign investment. Capital scarcity is “ratcheting the deglobalization trend into high gear,” says Smick, adding this will retard growth prospects in the United States and throughout the industrial world.’

‘The era of globalization was wild. It began in the late-1970s, picked up steam throughout the 1980s, then soared through the 1990s and beyond…But something else happened during this time, alluded to by Smick. The economy was taken over by Big Finance…As Smick points out, in 2003, the peak of the era of financial globalization, financial services accounted for “an absurdly high percentage of the U.S. stock market’s earnings—30 percent.” What’s more, financial services companies accounted for fully 40 percent of corporate U.S. profits.’

‘This wasn’t sustainable, and the bubble inevitably burst. But what can replace this artificial financial froth as a true, sustainable engine of growth?’

‘Meanwhile, governments have dumped some $15 trillion into efforts to prop up the globalization system, while central banks have swelled their balance sheets—irresponsibly, some people believe—to the tune of $5 trillion toward the same end. But it hasn’t worked.’

http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/the-crisis-globalization-7620

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 07:11:51

Interview from Asia Times Online discussing globalisation, capitalism, neoliberalism:

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Front_Page/NJ18Aa01.html

 
Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 07:17:06

They basically have to print and cook the books on inflation numbers.

My 72 year old father was b@tchen about the price of a quart of oil at 4 bucks. I told him they keep saying there is no inflation and he just laughed.

Comment by ecofeco
2012-10-18 07:52:24

I was ridiculed here for saying so as well. Not only that but inflation was almost 100% from 2010-2011.

It destroyed my paycheck.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 08:49:47

We went to Sams Club to do a stock up.Just about everything was significantly more expensive than last year.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:44:07

“marvelously heady time?”

Not for J6P it wasn’t.

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 08:05:54

Come on turkey, are you saying the masses got no benefit from these bubbles? During the dotcom bubble, most everybody in Austin was doing pretty well. It didn’t matter if you were waiting tables or designing web pages, incomes were up. How many here have told stories of ordinary people living large back in 2004-05? I visit foreclosed mobile homes that have granite counter tops and jetted hot tubs.

I’ve been thinking about this lately; when money was flowing, just about any business could make a go of it. Do you know how to install patio stones? You can make $75/hour. I remember tradesmen of all sorts telling me in 2005 that they could work 7 days a week, indefinitely.

Of course, the problem was, it couldn’t be sustained. A lot of the remodeling, vacationing and new cars was a part of that. Joe six pack was right there too.

Instead of using this article to make yet another political point, why don’t you think about what it means if this guy is right. Will the collapse of the many real estate bubbles coincide with the end of globalism? Or were they completely linked all along? (This isn’t the first time it’s been suggested here).

Think about it; every day there are sour reports about Europe and China. Just a year ago, we were told they would save the global economy. Now it’s possible they will fare worse than any other country; at the end of this, there may not even be a Europe/China as they are today. It may be time to consider a post-globalist world, and what that means for trade, commodities, finance, everything.

Comment by scdave
2012-10-18 08:21:13

Do you know how to install patio stones? You can make $75/hour. I remember tradesmen of all sorts telling me in 2005 that they could work 7 days a week, indefinitely. Of course, the problem was, it couldn’t be sustained. A lot of the remodeling, vacationing and new cars was a part of that. Joe six pack was right there too ??

Spot on Ben….I personally know a sole proprietor plumber, one truck no employees who made over $300,000. during this period…

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 08:25:35

I agree Ben. During the housing bubble, it was not what a person produced that was important but what they consumed. The strawberry picker that willing to buy what was it a $800,000 house? was far more important than the engineer making 80,000 but only spending 60,000. The uneducated picker created 800,000 in demand. People benefited all the way down the line, construction, finance, real estate etc.

Since people in the housing related industries were not producing manufacturing goods it created a demand for Chinese products. It has all ended and no world class consumer has stepped up to replace our role in the globalization model. It is more accurate to say that the world is weak due to our weak demand than say we are weak due to the weak world. I know they feed off each other but it was our inability to take on more debt that has caused the world’s weakness. The stimulus propped up the world more than it propped up the U.S. Economy and just left us more in debt.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 08:32:56

‘People benefited all the way down the line’

And that’s what produced this:

‘in 2003, the peak of the era of financial globalization, financial services accounted for “an absurdly high percentage of the U.S. stock market’s earnings—30 percent.’ What’s more, financial services companies accounted for fully 40 percent of corporate U.S. profits’

Recall what was being said at this time; globalism is working! We don’t need to make stuff anymore, we can finance it.

Those trade guys I knew were blowing and going. Big trucks, toys, some even bought a house, on credit of course. They saved almost nothing, so as soon as it slowed down, poof, they were gone.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:31:20

I was speaking of globalization, not just the housing bubble.

Globalization has been ongoing since the 1980s and every single indicator shows J6P wages have not kept up with inflation nor gains in productivity of his labor.

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-18 08:35:09

For anyone doing the grunt work in manufacturing, the 80s and 90s were marked by the motto “doing more with less”.

-Say goodbye to defined benefit pension plans, say hello to crappy 401Ks

-I didn’t pay anything for my company health insurance in 1980. Since then we’ve seen HMOs, raised copays/deductibles, increased premiums year in and year out, supplementary bills for “services not covered”……

-Pay “raises” of 2-3% year, every year, when the underlying inflation rate was at least double that. Do this for 20 years, and watch your check shrink compared to your bills.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-18 10:30:39

People complain about 401(k)s and I admit they can be poor compared to a great pension, once you’re vested. But as someone who spent one enlistment in the military I’ve been quite happy to not need to spend 20 years somewhere just to get something for retirement. I have a deep need to be able to bail quickly when things get stupid and 401(k)s are great for that.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-18 10:47:08

Don’t forget you’re supposed to “live within your means.”

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-18 11:03:35

I wonder just how many flipped a house and paid off their student loans…..

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-18 11:50:51

I’d rather have a 401(k) than a pension plan. I can take the 401(k) with me when I swap jobs. I have money I put away 5 jobs and one degree ago that’s still around. Any money I stuck into a pension wouldn’t have come all this way with me.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 10:02:33

Come on turkey, are you saying the masses got no benefit from these bubbles?

It depends where they lived. In most of flyover houses didn’t have 6 digit appreciation. When the local factories were relocated to sweatshopland they lost their jobs. There’s a reason why food stamp rolls swelled during the bubble.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:33:14

In fact, the loss of good wages was one of the main reasons FOR the housing bubble speculation.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 07:51:06

“The world seems headed toward a currency war, with at least twelve countries beyond China manipulating their currencies against the dollar for trade advantage.”

I know it’s different this time, but beggar thy neighbor currency policy and tariffs appear to have only served to worsen the Great Depression.

If Currency Manipulation Is So Great for Exports, Why Don’t We Do It?
The Explainer currency-manipulation roundup.
By Brian Palmer|Posted Wednesday, Oct. 17, 2012, at 3:05 PM ET
A Chinese bank worker counts stacks of 100-yuan notes at a bank.
Photo by AFP/Getty Images.

President Obama and Gov. Romney agreed on at least one thing in Tuesday night’s debate: China cheats at international trade. Romney accused China of stealing our intellectual property. The president said China flooded the U.S. market with cheap tires. Worst of all, China depresses the price of its exports by manipulating its currency. Now that currency manipulation a major buzz phrase in the presidential campaign, it requires the full Explainer treatment.

How does China manipulate its currency?

By buying U.S. government debt. In a free market, a trade surplus should increase the value of a country’s currency. People want to be paid in local money, creating demand for the currency, which in turn raises its value. Over time, this provides a counterweight against runaway trade imbalances. That process doesn’t happen in China, because the government constantly prints new currency and uses it to buy U.S. dollars and U.S. government debt, thereby flooding the market with Chinese currency and increasing demand for American dollars. As of this writing, China holds $1.15 trillion in U.S. government debt, and the country’s foreign exchange reserves are nearly as great as those of all advanced economies combined.

Until June 2010, the Chinese government dictated the value of the yuan against the U.S. dollar, a strategy known as “pegging.” China claim to have abandoned the pegging system, but the country still manages the value of the yuan within a narrow range. According to many estimates, Chinese government intervention keeps the yuan approximately 20 percent below its free market value against the dollar.

Is currency manipulation legal?

No. International law grants sovereigns the right to manage their currencies, but a country can limit those rights through international agreements. China’s membership in the IMF requires the government to “avoid manipulating exchange rates … in order to prevent effective balance of payments adjustment or to gain an unfair competitive advantage over other members.” The IMF agreement, however, is toothless. China claims that it manages its currency to ensure domestic stability, not to cheat trading partners, and there’s no venue in which anyone can effectively challenge that claim.

The WTO, unlike the IMF, has a dispute-resolution mechanism, but its rules don’t directly address currency manipulation. A WTO complaint would have to shoehorn China’s currency practices into an existing provision. The United States could argue, for example, that currency manipulation represents an illegal, market-wide export subsidy. Alternatively, the Obama administration could bring a so-called “non-violation complaint,” alleging that China has undermined the spirit of the WTO agreement through a loophole. These arguments, although plausible, would be unprecedented.

Dissatisfied with international enforcement options, Congress passed its own law in 2011 that requires the Treasury Department to publish semiannual reports on suspected currency manipulators. If the administration deems a country a currency manipulator, the president may impose tariffs against its imports to offset the effects of the depressed currency. Citing slow but steady appreciation of the yuan, the administration has repeatedly declined to apply the label to China.

Why don’t we retaliate against China’s currency manipulation?

Because of unintended consequences. It’s impossible to say what negotiations have taken place between the Obama administration and the Chinese government behind closed doors, but open retaliation for Chinese monetary policies would impact our own economy. Import tariffs on Chinese products or taxes on conversions between dollars and yuan would raise the prices of cheap Chinese products, which American consumers rely on. Advocates for retaliation, however, argue that the mere threat of sanctions would force China to change its policies. Skeptics also claim that multinational corporations have used their political influence to forestall U.S. retaliation. They have benefitted from cheap Chinese labor and a depressed yuan, the argument goes, and have no interest in changing the system.

Do other countries manipulate their currencies?

Yes. In 2010, the Japanese government moved to depress the value of the yen. South Korea also has a habit of intervening in the value of its currency. Switzerland pegged its franc to the euro beginning in 2011.

Observers insist that there are major differences between these countries and China. Switzerland’s move was defensive—terrified investors were buying up francs to get out of the euro in the depths of the European debt crisis. Japan and South Korea argue that the artificially cheap yuan forces them to manipulate their own currencies to remain competitive with China.

Other currency manipulators also tend to be more transparent than China. Switzerland publicly announced that it would not allow the franc to rise above 0.83 euros, and has stuck to that ceiling. China doesn’t say exactly what it currently pegs the yuan to, nor what valuation the country is willing to tolerate.

Comment by polly
2012-10-18 08:37:27

“That process doesn’t happen in China, because the government constantly prints new currency and uses it to buy U.S. dollars and U.S. government debt…”

Huh? I thought they bought debt with US dollars because they were selling their goods to US retailers who get US dollars from their customers.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-18 10:42:55

You always have to read between the lines of MSM articles these days…not much different than the problem Russians faced reading Pravda (Translation: “Truth”) during the Soviet Era.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-19 16:33:40

I think the Chinese central bank receives the US$ going to Chinese exporters, and prints Chinese yuan to pay those owed the greenbacks. Then they take the greenbacks and buy US debt and dollars.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 18:55:31

Is it possible that lower and lower wages for the working class and more and more wealth consolidation are detrimental to the world economy?

Me thinks

YES

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 06:59:04

The 1%er pigmen ask Uncle Sugar to play nice - WSJ - CEOs to Washington: Focus on Fiscal Cliff

“A growing number of chief executives are, cautiously, telling the White House and Congress to more urgently address looming spending cuts and tax increases that are set to begin in January.

The latest overture came Thursday, when 15 chief executives from the country’s largest banks and insurance companies sent a letter to the White House and Congress calling for a bipartisan deal “to avoid the approaching fiscal cliff.”

It was signed by the chief executives of Bank of America Corp, Citigroup Inc, MetLife Inc, and Morgan Stanley, among others. They are members of the Financial Services Forum, a Washington trade group.”

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:07:23

They must be afraid there will not be a TARP II or Stimulus II or that maybe (just maybe) the next president may let a few a them fail due to their own risky behavior…

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:53:59

Will they resort to extortion again?

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 08:04:25

Or just stab them like the Morgan Stanley bond trader arguing over a cab fare, LOLZ!

 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2012-10-18 07:54:18

Let it burn. The economy of them paying workers less and selling them more can’t go on forever. The private sector version of it collapsed more than four years ago. The government is bankrupting itself to keep the game going.

This is all about the engineering of consent. Re-increase the regressive payroll tax but (whew!) not the progressive income tax. Slash old age benefits for younger generations later but (whew!) not for Generation Greed now.

Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-18 08:11:03

A lot said, and very well I might add.

Yeah, it is about the engineering of consent…about who should get robbed worst and longest.

It reminds me of watching a cage full of macaques…all in a state of frenzy to grab whatever remaining spoils exist. Unlike macaques, however, ours is not an every man for himself scenario. Whether that’s a good thing is arguable.

 
 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 06:59:39

I thought I had come up with SNORKEL but Paul Scheper beat me to it.

Obama casts lifeline to underwater homeowners
October 24th, 2011, 8:46 am

According to news reports, the new plan likely will help 600,000 to 1 million borrowers refinance their mortgages. MSNBC reported, however, that is only a fraction of the estimated 11 million homeowners who are underwater.

Paul Scheper, regional manager of Greenlight Financial in Irvine, said the plan will provide a “snorkel” for underwater homeowners with good incomes and credit scores.

http://lansner.ocregister.com/2011/10/24/lifeline-cast-to-some-underwater-homeowners/137713/ - 68k

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 07:22:10

doesnt help all the people that were shafted by counrtywide and who’s loans were sold to private investors, WTH?

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 07:39:10

“shafted by counrtywide”?

Here is a HBB oldie.

THE WASHINGTON HILLBILLIES

Come and listen to my story bout a man named Dodd
refied his house but it seemed kinda odd
saved eighty grand but he said he didn`t know
law makers get a break cause they`re friends of Angelo

Mozillo that is , CountryWide , Bad loans

Well the first thing ya know Angelo is in some trouble
he say`s HEY DODD NOW THEY SAY I CAUSED A BUBBLE!
Dodd say`s fine I`ll just sponsor us a bill
tell em that they need it and I`ll sell it on the Hill

Well the moral of the story that you all should know
better vote em out if they`re friends of Angelo
or one day soon we`ll be shootin at our food
Bernankes got us lookin at two hundred dollar crude

Oil that is , black gold , OPEC tea

And now it`s time to say goodbye to you and all your kin
and Dodd would like to thank you all for kindly chippin in
you`re all invited back again to this localitee
to pay another trillion for their bogus LTV

Loan to value, that is

Kick your shoes off
Ya`ll come back now ya hear

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 08:04:50

I find it kind of odd that all these govt programs are directed at freddie and fannie held loans.

Most of the people who were duped by countrywide had their loans sold off to private investors like the folks in iceland.

So how many people are they really helping because narrowing it down to fannie and freddie loans eliminated a lot of the folks who are underwater?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-18 11:54:53

Shafted by Countrywide? You mean the stockholders? Or the bondholders? Or the people who bought their loans? No wait, those people shafted themselves. Just like the people who got loans from Countrywide. They all aGREED to the terms. I shed no tears for them.

 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-18 10:44:54

Once the snorkel has to be long enough to hold two lungs worth of air, then what happens?

 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 07:05:30

A Bright and Shining Libyan Lie (By Victor Davis Hanson in Real Clear Politics website)

“What the Obama administration could not concede was the truth: The lead-from-behind intervention in Libya had proved a blueprint for nothing. Libya has descended into chaos. Radical Islam had either subverted or hijacked the Arab Spring. Al-Qaeda was not dismantled by the death of bin Laden or by the stepped-up drone assassination missions in Pakistan. Egypt was becoming Islamist; Syria was a bloody mess. Iran was on the way to becoming nuclear. Obama had won America no more good will in the Middle East than had prior presidents.”

“In other words, the administration’s entire experience in Libya — and in most of the Middle East in general — has been a bright and shining lie.”

IMO the Obama foreign policy has been an absolute failure. I wonder how this week’s debate is going to transpire as the next debate is supposed to be on “Foreign Policy”?

I think the lies that have been told in the Libyan Debacle are worse than the lies told in Watergate, as they were done to cover up the reasons for the murder of 4 State Dept employees.

Has the State Dept done anything to protect our other assets around the world? Are we sending our own Marines out to protect our diplomats?

I predict the Prez will be stammering, studdering and madder than a hornet after the debate next week.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:55:57

Op-ed idiocy.

Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 10:00:00

In your mind and a few others, but “true” none the less.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:36:33

And this author is privy to classified intel and the inner workings of foreign policy?

Ye…ah.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 11:08:01

Turkey Lurkey,

You don’t have to have classified intel to see what’s been going on. You just have to look past the MSM, which doesn’t want their President to be damaged by the news.

If you question who this author is, go here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victor_Davis_Hanson

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 12:13:36

Thanks for the link.

Yes, he does have good credentials.

 
 
Comment by Bluestar
2012-10-18 11:34:54

I know what we need. Let’s build a copy of the Iraq embassy in every country we have diplomatic relations with. We got to protect our interests right?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 11:54:18

IMO the Obama foreign policy has been an absolute failure.

Sure. I think you and yours are just sore because Romney really got punked on Libya during that debate smack down. Man, talk about boss-Romney getting his big head handed to him on a plate.

On foreign policy, maybe FOXAmericans should get out more because perceptions vary globally. The biased perceptions of Obama’s foreign policy by angry white men in Alabama for example, are different than those perceptions overseas.

I would say most of the world ranks Obama’s foreign policy heads and shoulders above those of Bush. I know they feel this way in Latin America and I know most the world feels this way economically.

Obama better for world economy: Fri Aug 17, 2012

(Reuters) - Twice as many business executives around the world say the global economy will prosper better if incumbent President Barack Obama wins the next election than if his Republican challenger Mitt Romney does, a poll showed on Friday.

Democrat Obama was chosen by 42.7 percent in the 1,700 respondent poll, compared with 20.5 percent for Romney. The rest said “neither”.

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:43:46

BS. Romney couldn’t buy my vote but he wasn’t wrong and it certainly isn’t the place of the moderator to step in.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 13:58:42

(Romney) wasn’t wrong and it certainly isn’t the place of the moderator to step in.

Romney was wrong as wrong, got smacked down hard and you are choking on sour grapes.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 14:06:27

Would you like to point out in the transcript where he specifically calls it a terrorist act?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 14:17:10

Would you like to point out in the transcript where he specifically calls it a terrorist act?

The next day describing the act and our response:
“No acts of terror will ever shake the resolve of this great nation, alter that character, or eclipse the light of the values that we stand for,”

(Now here comes Bad Andy’s Repub, biased, tortured and obtuse argument that twists the concepts of communication and insults the intelligent person’s comprehension of the English language.) :)

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 15:24:46

The question is really was this a terror plot or due to a spontaneous act based on the film? The Obama administration clearly tried to claim it as the latter for two weeks. They also claimed they had no reason to believe the Consulate would be attacked. Both are bold faced lies and Obama was still repeating them when he addressed the UN.

But if you want to have the idiotic debate saying that no acts of terror will ever shake the resolve, is not specifically labeling the event as a terror attack.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 15:40:18

But if you want to have the idiotic debate saying that no acts of terror will ever shake the resolve, is not specifically labeling the event as a terror attack.

In a pig’s eye maybe.

The question is really was this a terror plot or due to a spontaneous act based on the film?

I think not. I think the “question” is that Romney got caught big time on national TV wallowing in his BS. And Obama spanked him hard.

 
 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 15:56:33

Of course, self interest. The stimulus policy and deficit spending benefit them. Also, if the corporate income tax rate was reduced here and we used are cheap fossil fuels, we would put many of them out of business. I think the fact that they support Obama is more an indict me of him than a reason to vote for him.

If you are Yankee fan you want the dumbest manager you can find to manage the Red Sox.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 15:57:35

Are = our, time for another cup of coffee.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:15:31

Let’s see.

Destroy entrepreneurs which means destroy new, small and medium companies which means NO new jobs which means a shrinking economy which means EVEN less tax revenue to government.

———————————–

Stick-it-to-rich tax plan may backfire on France
The Washington Times | 19 October 2012 | Maya Vidon-White

PARIS — France’s Socialist government is proposing a slew of taxes — on art, on businesses, on the rich — that are drawing criticism for stifling entrepreneurship and scaring off the wealthy.

“Unfortunately, I think the politics we are leading in France will turn out to be catastrophic for the economy, which is already in bad shape,” said French economist Marc Touati, author of “When the Eurozone Explodes.” “This is a serious mistake, something you learn in [Economy 101] — it will aggravate the recession and therefore shrink the tax base.”

Led by President Francois Hollande, the French government proposed last month a series of tax measures in a bid to reduce the country’s budget deficit and help boost the economy.

The proposals included a tax increase of up to 60 percent on capital gains, up from 34.5 percent; a 75 percent tax on incomes of more than $1.29 million for two years; and a 45 percent tax rate for annual incomes exceeding $195,000.

The 2013 budget proposal already is having an effect on some entrepreneurs’ ability to raise capital — especially abroad, where many Europeans look to escape tight capital markets on the Continent.

“Today, nearly all investment has been frozen. We are in a phase where the hand brakes are on,” he said. “There is no clear vision, and since no one knows what will hit us, why should anyone be interested in investing?”

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:17:21

Total Welfare Spending Now at $1 Trillion
National Review | 10/18/2012 | NRO Staff

Total annual spending on federal means-tested welfare programs has hit $1 trillion. The Congressional Research Service is out with a new memorandum on spending on these programs. Senator Jeff Sessions, the ranking Republican on the Senate budget committee who requested the memo, has crunched the numbers and come up with the astonishing figure of $1 trillion in annual total spending on these programs as of fiscal year 2011, nearly $750 billion in federal dollars and another roughly $250 billion in state funding. Senator Sessions explains:

Ranking Member Sessions and the minority staff of the Senate Budget Committee requested from the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service (CRS) an overview of cumulative means-tested federal welfare spending in the United States in the most recent year for which data is available (fiscal year 2011). The results are staggering. CRS identified 83 overlapping federal welfare programs that together represented the single largest budget item in 2011—more than the nation spends on Social Security, Medicare, or national defense. The total amount spent on these 80-plus federal welfare programs amounts to roughly $1.03 trillion. Importantly, these figures solely refer to means-tested welfare benefits. They exclude entitlement programs to which people contribute (e.g., Social Security and Medicare).

CRS estimates that exclusively federal spending on these federal programs equaled approximately $746 billion, and further emphasizes that there is a substantial amount of state spending—mostly required as a condition of states’ participation—on these same federal programs (primarily Medicaid and CHIP). Based on data from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and the Oxford Handbook of State and Local Government Finance, Budget Committee staff calculated at least an additional $283 billion in state contributions to those same federal programs,1 for a total annual expenditure of $1.03 trillion. By comparison, in 2011, the annual budget expenditure for Social Security was $725 billion, Medicare was $480 billion, and non-war defense was $540 billion.

The exclusively federal share of spending on these federal programs is up 32 percent since 2008, and now comprises 21 percent of federal outlays (this share too is more than Social Security, Medicare, or defense).

As a historical comparison, spending on the 10 largest of the 83 programs (which account for the bulk of federal welfare spending) has doubled as a share of the federal budget over just the last 30 years. In inflation-adjusted dollars, the amount expended on these 10 programs has increased by 378 percent over that time.

Many factors have contributed to the growth in federal welfare spending, causing it to rise during times of both high and low unemployment. Persistently weak GDP growth over the last several years is unquestionably a factor in the record amount of money now being spent. But understanding the growth in federal welfare expenditures must also be understood in the context of a federal policy that has explicitly encouraged growth in welfare enrollment—combined with a weakening of welfare standards and rules.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 07:58:51

This is what happens when you send American jobs to communist countries and give them tax breaks to so.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/09/28/us-usa-democrats-offshore-idUSTRE68R40I20100928

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-18 09:22:29

So SSDI/SSI/Food stamps/medicare/medicaid is the best income people can find? What a great commentary on present day America.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 09:57:54

It’s a Lucky Ducky world

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 07:26:08

Phil Gramm and Michael Solon in the WSJ - Can Government Benefits Turn an Election?

“In 1980 and 1992, only 3% of the American labor force drew disability benefits from the government. Today it is 6%. The number of workers qualifying for disability since the recession ended in 2009 has grown twice as fast as private employment.

How would Presidents Jimmy Carter or George H. W. Bush have fared on their Election Day if 40% of the Americans who were unemployed had instead have qualified for disability benefits? How would voters have reacted in 1980 or 1992 if food stamp benefits had grown by 65% instead of an average of less than 25% during the first four years of their administrations?

During the past four years, the Obama administration’s aggressive promotion of the food stamp program has increased the number of recipients by 18.5 million. Do these people feel the same level of discontent about economic conditions as the rest of the voting population.

The federal government’s 120 means-tested programs today provide $1 trillion of benefits. The spending for these programs has grown 2-1/2 times faster during the Obama presidency than in any other comparable period in American history. To what extent might these benefits not just foster dependency but also make the economy’s performance seem less of a deciding factor in voters’ choices?”

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-18 07:40:54

You think people who get free cheese will want more free cheese and will vote for the candidate that will deliver?

How democrats have gained and kept power in Chicago, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Camden, Newark, Boston, etc. for the last 50 years.

They are just bringing it to a national level.

And PS - liberals don’t care if they make ALL of America like Camden or Newark - just as long as they are in power.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-18 09:00:18

The scenario I’m seeing.

-40-50 year old workers who could qualify for disability continued to work, because they could.

-Employers are laying off every 40-50 year old they can, because they are expensive compared to 18-22 year old Lucky ducks, or Xian 6Pak in Shanghai.

-The 40-50 year olds can’t get hired anywhere, due to “pre-existing conditions”

-40-50 year olds apply for the disability benefits that they were qualified for, but opted not to use, until they couldn’t find new jobs.

So who created the increase in disability rolls? Millions of J6Ps who suddenly decided to become freeloaders, or Corporate America, who then gets to complain about the increase in “freeloaders”

You know, if Republicans would quit listening to their own propaganda, and actually look at all of the facts, they would find that these problems aren’t as cut and dried as their pointy little heads think.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 09:47:40

I know this is only marginally related, but question:

How do you explain the rabid opposition to “means-testing” by the far left as a way to help reduce entitlement cost burden on government?

The best (most favorable explanation) that I can come up with is that they see it as the first step to getting rid of the entitlement program altogether (a weakening of the program).

The worst is that they just like more money with government.

The way I see it is this:

1. One major problem with healthcare is that users of healthcare don’t see a meaningful amount of the cost (so they don’t question tests/procedures, etc.);
2. Aside from the standard “reduce fraud, cut out inefficiencies, etc.”, the primary way to fix Medicare is to either a) raise more money from those who can afford it, and/or b) cut back benefits;
3. Means testing does #2 without having the government decide on which benefits to cut. With people seeing some of the cost of healthcare, you would see over-cautious testing reduced, etc.

Those without the means are protected, those who have more money bear more of the burden for their own care.

And I don’t buy the response “we paid in, we should get the benefit out”. The paid in money has been long-spent on other things…and we have the debt to prove it.

Any other cogent arguments against means-testing?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 10:04:18

‘Any other cogent arguments against means-testing’

Some would say it will expose the ponzi scheme for what it is.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 10:49:15

To XGS’ post above: with a nationalized, single-payer health care system like that enjoyed by most of the rest of the first world, this would not happen.

Our gig with Uncle Sugar recently changed contractors. The older employees with more tenure are looking at either significant pay cuts or increases in the employee share of insurance costs.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-18 11:26:10

PBS ran a show a while back, comparing the single payer plans in Britain, Canada, Germany, Japan, etc., with what we had.

Sure, they had their problems. A lot of doctors in those countries don’t like it, because they can’t make high six/seven-figure salaries like doctors can make here.

OTOH, they don’t have to worry about malpractice suits, or six figure balances in their student loan accounts, or paying a bunch of people to process/game the insurance claims system. The low pay (relative) problem can be addressed.

If nothing else, we’ll find out which doctors are genuinely interested in treating patients, and which ones are in it for the money.

What was interesting was the fact that NONE of the J6Ps interviewed in these other countries would trade their system for ours.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 12:14:24

What was interesting was the fact that NONE of the J6Ps interviewed in these other countries would trade their system for ours.

Our system is viewed with revulsion and horror outside of the USA, except by the foreign rich who can afford to be treated at our elite hospitals (say Cedar Sinai or Mayo Clinic)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 12:19:38

Our system is viewed with revulsion and horror outside of the USA,

When I described the USA health-care system to an Australian, he asked me if Americans were barbarians.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 12:37:34

Yet if we put end of life decisions fully in the hands of the medical community (as is the case in many of the countries with a single-payer system), we would call that barbaric…

No discussion about healthcare in this country should be had without an open airing of the EOL decision making process. This is a major driver of the difference in cost between the US and other countries.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-18 12:59:05

Exactly rental I want a Dr. Kevorkian at my side when I make that choice and i want NO ONE sued or arrested..

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 13:00:53

Our system is viewed with revulsion and horror outside of the USA

Utter rubbish. I am in constant contact with foreigners, nobody ever mentioned that US has an inferior health care system.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 13:01:28

‘we would call that barbaric’

It’s interesting that those advocating force call those opposed barbaric. I suppose that it’s humane to forcibly taking money from people to pay for, say, having some toilet paper removed from my ear.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 13:03:41

When I described the USA health-care system to an Australian, he asked me if Americans were barbarians.

Can’t blame the guy after regarding the source.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 13:35:39

@Ben, I think the EOL stuff is tough, with no bright lines.

“Life” is “precious”. We all agree.

Now, define “life”, and define “precious”.

Is a 90-year-old body functioning with machine assistance with a 90-year-old mind in a vegetative state “living”? Some might say yes. Others would say no.

Is that condition “precious” enough to warrant, say resources that could be used to vaccinate 10,000 kids per year? 1,000?

I think that example is among the easier.

The line gets more difficult with other decisions. How about an expensive procedure on a dying patient to extend their life by 6 months, what’s that “worth”? Resources that could otherwise provide quality prenatal care for 500 pregnant women? Quality prosthetics for 10 folks who have lost a limb? Treatment for 1,000 people with a curable infection?

What about if the probability of death on the operating table is 75%? What about if the probability of cure is 5%?

If you are paying for it all yourself, do what you want.

If you are paying for insurance, and your deal with the insurance company is that they cover the procedures, go for it.

If it is a government program, where more money spent equals taxing others more, who should decide (it’s awfully easy to spend someone else’s money)?

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 13:46:09

Rental,

Good stuff about the EOL and it’s the politics that’s getting in the way. Left doesn’t want to be told by Insurance companies that they can’t have extra care. Right doesn’t want to be told by the government that you must die. Furthermore, if pro lifers get their way we will most likely have Terry Schivos in every houseold. May be not if the insurance company cuts of the care?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 14:03:57

Yet if we put end of life decisions fully in the hands of the medical community (as is the case in many of the countries with a single-payer system), we would call that barbaric…

Why would we call that system “barbaric” relative to America’s system when most people with single-payer systems live longer and healthier than Americans?

The USA health-insurance system is much more barbaric than say Canada’s by almost every measure.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 14:08:14

I am in constant contact with foreigners,

On Facebook? :)

nobody ever mentioned that US has an inferior health care system.

“91% of Canadians prefer their healthcare system instead of a U.S. style system.[9][10] Plus 70% of Canadians rated their system as working either “well” or “very well”.[11]

A 2009 Harris/Decima poll found 82% of Canadians preferred their healthcare system to the one in the United States, more than ten times as many as the 8% stating a preference for a US-style health care system for Canada[12] while a Strategic Counsel survey in 2008 found 91% of Canadians preferring their healthcare system to that of the U.S.” wiki

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 14:10:40

Ross,

Or what we’ll have is what exists in countries like the UK, a public system with a private system still in place.

Those with the means frequently have private insurance to go along with public care, because for many people, the public care is not good enough.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 14:21:39

It’s interesting that those advocating force call those opposed barbaric.

It’s interesting that someone who is uninsured and might someday end up uninsured and in an ER costing the taxpayer money also advocates for personal responsibility and freedom.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 14:22:37

>i>Utter rubbish. I am in constant contact with foreigners, nobody ever mentioned that US has an inferior health care system.

Sez you. All my European relatives react as Rio’s Aussie acquaintance did.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 14:24:39

‘82% of Canadians preferred…’

A lot of people who drew 3000% more than they paid into Social Security undoubtedly preferred the system too. Maybe an even higher percentage of those who got out of a ponzi scheme early preferred it as well.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 14:32:58

‘82% of Canadians preferred…’

A lot of people who drew 3000% more than they paid into Social Security undoubtedly preferred the system too.

Apples and Oranges.

The Canadian health care system is solvent, insures 100% of Canadians, costs way less per person than American’s system and has better health-care stats than America’s system.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-18 14:46:12

‘might someday end up uninsured and in an ER costing’

I’m used to being uninsured. I grew up in a middle income family with seven children. We didn’t have health insurance; didn’t need it. On the occasion someone had to see a doctor, the price was low enough that my parents could just pay it. My mom had those seven children and they simply wrote a check when she left the hospital. And when you don’t have health insurance, you don’t go to the doctor every time you have the flu.

People will say, ‘but we have so much more technology these days.’ Wrong; technology makes things cheaper, not more expensive.

It’s obvious something is wrong with the price of health care. Many of us think it’s mainly government intervention through insurance mandates. And what’s going on now is moving in the wrong direction.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 15:01:54

Many of us think it’s mainly government intervention through insurance mandates. And what’s going on now is moving in the wrong direction.

I agree with you on that point. What I do not agree with is that other forms of universal health care violate freedom. The might violate SOME freedoms but the freedoms they bestow greatly outweigh the freedoms they hinder.

If we look at a list of the most economically free countries in the world, almost all the top 10 have universal coverage and the name at the top, Hong Kong has a truly socialized health system based on Britain’s.

Entrepreneurship and Capitalism has been, can be, and is greatly enhanced by universal health care.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 15:19:45

91% of Canadians prefer their healthcare system instead of a U.S. style system.

Fact: 99.9% of canadians will never experience US system so I don’t think they are qualified to judge which system is better.

Fact: If you polled Russins during the commuism, I bet a large percentage would chose communism to other forms of government.

See the connection? Opinions of brainwashed masses doesn’t worth a $hit.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 15:47:13

Fact: 99.9% of canadians will never experience US system

Canadians know all about our system. Many Canadians have lived in America and still do. Many Canadians have relatives in America. Canadians are like our neighbors. I think we have a border with Canada and some Canadians can even read I’ve heard.

Opinions of brainwashed masses doesn’t worth a $hit.

I agree, that’s why Ross Peroxide rarely says anything original or of objective value.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-18 16:09:01

“Fact: 99.9% of canadians will never experience US system”

You sure about that. There are a lot of Canadians who come to Florida and other spots in the US for at least part of the year. They buy health insurance for when they are here. I doubt it is less than a tenth of a percent of the population.

 
 
Comment by S Carton
2012-10-18 15:19:08

+1000 fixer. I was going to add to your comment but, no need, you nailed it.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 19:08:57

Yes that’s it

The Canadians don’t have news, they don’t travel, and they can’t understand our system. ????

They are just distracted by the fact that their medical care system costs half as much and provides better outcomes and treats more people.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 07:57:19

120 means-tested programs today provide $1 trillion of benefits.

120 - that sounded low
$1 Trillion - that sounded really high

What are “these” benefits?
What about the states?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 08:00:03

I too, would like to see an itemization.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-18 08:06:58

Just imagine how much it would be if they included, for-profit, private-sector, government contractors! LOLZ

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-18 08:36:42

What are “these” benefits?

I too am curious. as SNAP and school lunches are only 100B. What are the other $900B in means tested benefits?

After some googling, the number I found for means tested antipoverty spending was $284B.

Comment by polly
2012-10-18 20:41:25

New lie: The government spends more on welfare than everything else!
Senate Republicans redefine “welfare” to make it sound very expensive
By Alex Pareene

http://www.salon.com/2012/10/18/new_lie_the_government_spends_more_on_welfare_than_everything_else/

Senate Republicans are counting 83 separate (and wildly different) programs as “welfare” in order to make the case that the government is spending more on poor people than old people. The majority of this money is Medicaid and CHIP, which are healthcare spending, which is increasing for the same reason that Medicare spending is increasing, which is that healthcare costs are increasing. (And Medicaid is much less generous than Medicare, because it is a program for poor people, not old people.) But so many other things now also count as welfare, including Pell Grants, public works spending, Head Start, child support enforcement, the Child Tax Credit, Foster Care assistance, housing for old people, and much more. They’re also counting the Earned Income Tax Credit, which is, traditionally, the form of “welfare” that conservative Republicans actually support. Basically, all social spending (though specifically not spending on rich old people or on healthcare for veterans with service-related disabilities, which Republicans requested be excluded from the CRS report) now counts as “welfare.”

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-10-18 10:56:15

Just imagine 120 different bureacracies in at least 50 states. Imagine bureacrat paper pushers sitting in their office building, shoveling paper from one location to another. Consider the cost of buildings, office machinery, salaries, benefits, intermittent trips to Las Vegas, etc.

This is the Obama employment plan, just keep hiring government bureacrats until they dominate the populace and they can vote in whoever and whatever they want.

It is a boon doggle. I bet the bureacracy spends more on itself than the benefits that they provide for those in need.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-18 11:35:03

You know, the 1%er/Corporate types could short-circuit that commie’s plans in 15 minutes, if they wanted to.

Instead of hoarding cash, and paying themselves nutso salaries for their self-professed “irreplacable talent and skills”, start:

-Paying people decent salaries, instead of using the lousy job market to squeeze J6P,

and/or

-Hire a few people.

That’ll teach Obama.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by S Carton
2012-10-18 15:44:40

Unfortunately fixer, the whole plan was to keep people unemployed so that Obama wouldn’t have a second term.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 12:16:42

This is the Obama employment plan, just keep hiring government bureacrats until they dominate the populace

That is not true, but your false statement mimics the Republican propaganda plan to disseminate misrepresentations of the truth. (Or maybe a lot of Republicans are just ignorant people in general.)

Flabbergasted Rand Paul Learns Public Employment Decreased Under Obama Sep 9, 2012 at 1:40 pm

One of the least appreciated but easily-confirmed facts about the current state of the American economy is that the number of Americans employed by the government has gone down under President Obama. But apparently this is news to one the Republican Party’s most prominent tea party conservatives. During a roundtable discussion on ABC this morning over the size and adequacy of the 2009 stimulus, a flabbergasted Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) asked economist Paul Krugman if he was actually arguing that government employment had gone down under Obama:

http://thinkprogress.org/economy/2012/09/09/816761/flabbergasted-rand-paul-learns-public-employment-decreased-under-obama/

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-18 12:35:14

And of any increases in Federal employees (if any)…..

-How many of them were DoD? TSA? Border Patrol? Homeland Security of various descriptions?.

-Do “contractors” count as Federal employees? Lots of contractors are rebuilding/repairing/overhauling military equipment coming back from the Middle East.

What was Dubya’s record on this from 2000-2008? Clinton’s? Bush-Uno’s?

Every Federal government office I deal with is dealing with hiring freezes, or not filling open positions when people retire.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 13:42:49

“Ignorant” would be a polite way of putting it.

 
Comment by S Carton
2012-10-18 15:49:11

Homeland security! ding ding ding! you would not believe how much waste is in that organization. Add in DoD and how much is that anti-terrorist stuff costing us?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 16:15:05

Conflicting info on this, IBD had a chart this Summer which showed federal government employment actually rising over 200,000 if you exclude the post office.

So I wonder if these cuts are post office jobs which is a quasi government organization which is suppose to be free from the government.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-18 16:20:56

June 8th IBD blog:

Payroll change since January 2008

Total: -5.01 million -3.6%

Private: -4.61 million -4%

Government: -407,000 -1.8%

Federal Government: (excluding post office) +225,000 11.4%

Sources: Labor Department, Datastream
Have not verified identified source but it should not be hard so I don’t think Rand Paul is necessarily wrong.

 
 
 
Comment by measton
2012-10-18 19:11:00

I think they should means test the IRA system.

Ie you shouldn’t be able to put away 100,000,000 dollars tax free for retirement.

 
 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 07:47:10

How about a squat stamp program?

SQUAMP

 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-18 09:22:05

They rush to get in, then rush to get out. I’m pretty confident though, that if there are losses, these big financial companies will have a way to stick the public with the losses. After all, the current model for the financial sector is “Privatize profits, socialize losses.” A system enabled by the current crop of politicians, who benefit from it.

Exclusive: Och-Ziff hedge fund looks to exit landlord business
By Matthew Goldstein and Jennifer Ablan
Reuters
NEW YORK | Wed Oct 17, 2012 5:19pm EDT

(Reuters) - One of the first big hedge funds to try to profit from a rebound in the U.S. housing market by investing in foreclosed homes is looking to cash out, even as other institutional investors are still getting in.

“It’s not surprising that some investors may have overestimated rental returns,” said Rick Sharga, executive vice president with Carrington Mortgage Holdings, a division of Carrington Capital, which has been buying and renting foreclosed homes since 2007. “If you are an investor getting into this cold you were probably making assumptions based on models rather than experience.”

Gregor Watson, founder of 643 Capital Management, which is Och-Ziff’s partner, said he is not marketing the portfolio of homes but declined to comment further. An Och-Ziff representative declined to comment.

Over the past year, other high-profile Wall Street names, such as Blackstone Group, Oaktree Capital Management, Colony Capital and TCW, have all committed money to investing in foreclosed homes. Oaktree has invested in a fund managed by Carrington.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/17/us-foreclosed-hedgefunds-idUSBRE89G1TE20121017

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-18 09:58:55

I think that over-estimation of rental returns is going to bite a lot of institutional in-VEST-ors in the arse.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 10:07:13

I missed this post…and posted the same thing (yet to appear).

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 11:59:18

BTW, the principal of 643 (G. Watson) is more of an investor than operator. It will be interesting to see if other groups follow Och Ziff, or whether there was more to the decision here than simply insufficient return.

It’s not like this is a LONG business model to figure out. Within 2-3 months, you should have any house you buy fixed and rented. I suspect we will know shortly if more of these groups aren’t able to get their expected yields, as the flow of capital into this space will shrink quickly if the yields aren’t there.

 
 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-18 11:10:35

They too paid grossly inflated prices for rapidly depreciating assets…. and the rental rates resulted in negative cap rates.

Go ahead….. Join their club and lose your shirt(s). Like millions before them.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 14:14:08

“and the rental rates resulted in negative cap rates.”

Care to show your math or source?

Comment by DO NOT Buy Housing Right Now
2012-10-18 17:23:54

Care to read the article?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 10:27:01

Even Republicans agree:

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/power-players-abc-news/wasteful-spending-tax-dollars-martian-menus-non-profit-105911755.html

Loopholes are part of the problem. The National Football League, for example, pulled in more than $9 billion last year, yet is technically a “non-profit” organization, costing the federal government tens of millions of dollars every year in lost revenue.

“We have some of the biggest corporations in America paying no taxes whatsoever, you know something is wrong with the code,” says the Republican senator.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 10:59:20

pulled in more than $9 billion last year, yet is technically a “non-profit” organization,

WOW. Didn’t know that at all. Let’s build them more stadiums. The Sports Owners of this country should learn something about Sports business from European Sports owners. We are the commies in this case.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 13:44:04

Pro sports is such scam. It’s why I hate pro sports and it’s farm league, college sports.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 13:52:40

Farm league?

The Sports owners here don’t spend a dime developing talents in this country. Again relying on public subsidies. Abolish college sports in all its forms!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-18 13:49:48

I can’t speak for Republicans, but conservatives always have held to no loopholes. Get rid of tax loopholes, lower rates, and stop wasting money. It’s simple, it’s what Mittens proposes, it’s the fact that he’ll never follow through that keeps me from voting in that direction.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 14:18:22

Whether Romney follows through is conjecture.

We have evidence that Obama won’t go that direction and is proposing the opposite. Simpson-Bowles suggests that direction (lower rates, reduce deductions), and Obama ignored it…and is currently in favor of Clinton-era tax rates for the wealthy (keeping all deductions).

Comment by S Carton
2012-10-18 16:03:52

Could be because he knows those deductions would find there way back again, hidden in bills that no one hears about. Big business owns congress or have you forgotten?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-18 16:16:36

Really?

Obama didn’t undertake tax reform because he sees it as a useless exercise, since once you change the code, it will simply be changed back?

Really?

If you really believe that, it is the best reason yet to give someone else a chance at “changing” Washington, because this president has given up.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-18 10:45:18

Et tu Goo-goo?

Oct. 18, 2012, 12:49 p.m. EDT
Google profit falls, misses estimates

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) - Google Inc. (GOOG -9.01%) on Thursday reported a third-quarter profit of $2.18 billion, or $6.53 a share, compared with a profit of $2.73 billion, or $8.33 a share, for the year-earlier period. Revenue, minus traffic acquisition costs, was $11.33 billion, up from $7.51 billion in the year-earlier period. Adjusted profit was $9.03 a share. Analysts were expecting an adjusted profit of $10.63 a share, on revenue of $11.39 billion. Shares of Google were down 8%.

Comment by Bluestar
2012-10-18 11:17:38

Wait till they(both US and everybody else too) put up the new IP internet DNS filters that only work in the country of origin. It’s coming because of security concerns but it will really hurt the social networking companies.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-18 12:22:38

IP internet DNS filters that only work in the country of origin

What will this mean for me being in Brazil reading American content?

 
 
Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 11:21:05

aapl and goog bubble breakn down?

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-18 11:47:10

Trade halted?

Let it collapse….

Comment by azdude
2012-10-18 11:57:51

but peoples 401k’s are tied to its success. people might not ever retire if it crashes.Stocks can only go up in the realm of central planning, right?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 13:45:14

Unfortunately, this is the truth. It’s how the extortion works.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cratering Global Housing
2012-10-18 11:13:58

CRATER

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 13:27:01

Nothing could be greater than to wake up in a CRATER in the morning.

Comment by Crater
2012-10-18 13:45:22

Let it CRATER

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 14:59:37

Is it a gated CRATER?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 15:51:53

“Let it CRATER”

How about Let it Beed?

Let it Bleed_Rolling Stones lyrics - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNTH9zmleBE - 187k -

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Crater
2012-10-18 17:09:55

“Let It Crater”

When I find myself in a sea of Bull$hit……

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-18 12:03:22

Damn public unions!

http://news.yahoo.com/los-angeles-county-tax-assessor-arrested-charged-bribery-003757312.html

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Los Angeles County’s tax assessor was arrested on Wednesday and charged with accepting bribes from a consultant whose clients he allegedly aided by slashing their property values to save them millions of dollars in taxes, prosecutors said.

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 16:41:53

Thirty lashes with a wet noodle!

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-18 12:58:24

The latest growth industry:

Fire suppression/prevention systems to combat Self-Immolators………because you don’t want the smell of charred “terrorist” flesh keeping people away from tourist attractions/public buildings/investment banks/HR department offices.

http://tinyurl.com/9atsuay

Still time to get in on the ground floor of this business.

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 16:43:30

Holy smokes!

 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 15:28:13

I lived this song a few times before I went to rehab. Had a lot of good times back then but they all weren`t good.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6G46Mw3PqM - 184k -

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-10-18 16:03:02

Florida is ranked No. 1 the nation for the number of homes in foreclosures and the number of people on the verge of losing their homes.

But the Sunshine state is last in the nation when it comes to using the millions of dollars in available housing aid from a national mortgage settlement, according to a report released Thursday by Enterprise Community Partners.

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/content/homeowners-lose-out-bondi-and-legislature-haggle-over-300-million-foreclosure-aid

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-18 16:51:12

I`d rather they gave the GD money to you and people like you so you could buy a house as a reward for not buying into the BS and sitting it out and not costing anyone anything.

Comment by Muggy
2012-10-18 18:05:48

I was looking at RVs last night.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-18 16:52:23

Vote: Do you expect another 1987-level stock market crash?
October 17, 2012, 8:30 AM

This Friday marks the 25th anniversary of Black Monday, the 1987 market crash that saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall headlong by 22.61%, or 508 points, to end at 1,738.74.

The day’s drop marked the steepest percentage decline ever, even surpassing the 12.8% slide on Oct. 28, 1929 (and 11.7% fall the next day), widely considered the start of the Great Depression. The largest single-day point loss remains Sept. 29, 2008 when the Dow fell by 777.68 points, but even that marked a 6.98% drop.

MarketWatch revisits the events of October 1987 this week and we want to hear from you. Will we see a crash of that magnitude again? If so, when? Take our poll and share your thoughts in our comment section below.

 
Comment by Exit Housing Now
2012-10-18 18:04:01

Exclusive: Och-Ziff hedge fund looks to exit landlord business

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/17/us-foreclosed-hedgefunds-idUSBRE89G1TE20121017

Get out NOW

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 22:00:59

Since when is a 1% decline on the NASDAQ some kind of major market crash?

Oct. 18, 2012, 4:43 p.m. EDT
U.S. stock-market fall hardened by Google
Google shares hit after unplanned early release of earnings miss
By Kate Gibson, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stock indexes on Thursday fell for the first day this week as Google Inc.’s profit miss highlighted trouble in the tech sector and a rise in jobless claims offset upbeat manufacturing data.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 22:06:24

Oct. 19, 2012, 12:04 a.m. EDT
Stones ‘Doom and Gloom’: Is that us?
Commentary: Do your songs, your stocks or your vote define you?

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch

SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Seriously, who are you? Look deep into your soul: Your songs reveal the true you. Your music is you.

Are you just something trapped in your answers in a phone survey or in anonymous algorithms scanning Facebook, Twitter? Are you just a few bits of data in the cloud? Ask yourself: Are you more than a voter, worker, consumer? More than just bits and data to Washington, Wall Street?

Rolling Stones members Charlie Watts, Ronnie Wood, Keith Richards and Mick Jagger arrive for the world premiere of the Rolling Stones documentary “Crossfire Hurricane” at the Odeon Leicester Square in London Thursday.

Did you agree to let “Them” define you? Invade your privacy? Are you happy with the choices “They” give you? Every phone survey boxes you into, one of two, maybe four choices. Yes, they do define you, again and again. To them you are just data. It weakens your soul once trapped anonymously in their cloud. They care about the masses. Do you care? Who are you?

The Rolling Stones new 50th year anniversary album “GRRR” will be out next month. Guess what, you can catch their new single, “Doom and Gloom,” free on YouTube. Listen, is this the country you believe in? Here’s the opening lyrics, a musical snapshot of today’s America. Look deep inside. Is this also you? The real you?

I had a dream last night
That I was piloting a plane
And all the passengers were drunk and insane.
I crash landed in a Louisiana swamp
Shot up a horde of zombies
But I come out on top.
What’s it all about?
It just reflects my mood …

Is this your America? The Real You? Or have they taken your identity? Telling you who you are? Defining you? Manipulating you into what they want? Are you just another anonymous voter, a consumer, worker, investor among millions? Did you let them get away with it? Go inside. Is it your song? The beat goes on …

Sitting in the dirt
Feeling kind of hurt
Aaaaall I hear is doooom and gloom
And aaaaall is darkness in my room

Is that you? If not, then who are you? What are you singing? It is certainly not the America I believed in when I joined the Marines.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 22:16:59

Oct. 18, 2012, 5:31 a.m. EDT
Stocks: Things could be worse, much worse
By Kevin Marder

Shares remain in the midst of a 3%-5% reaction. The activity so far this week represents nothing more than a short-term oversold pop. The below chart shows the Nasdaq Composite (COMP -1.01%) moving just past the middle of its downward channel.

Whereas the Nasdaq has pulled back to its September low (above), the S&P 500 chart below shows the index well above its own September low, marked by the circle.

This illustrates the rotation out of technology and smaller-capitalization, and into large-capitalization financial and health care.

Meanwhile, it is a positive when China’s equity market starts to outperform the U.S. market. Not only does this reflect a degree of speculative sentiment, but it says that the Chinese economy may have already troughed.

Stateside, the best thing the economy (and the market) has going for it is the smart rebound in the housing sector. It is difficult to overestimate the importance of this segment to the economy. It has historically led the economy out of recession. This due to the numerous industries which are affected by the construction and sale of a home. These include furniture and appliances, raw materials like wood and copper, financial services such as lenders, real-estate brokers, and escrow agents, and heavy equipment makers.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 22:19:40

Oct. 18, 2012, 11:40 p.m. EDT
China FDI flows show futher cooling in September
By Chris Oliver

HONG KONG (MakretWatch) - China’s foreign direct investment dropped in September, rounding out a down-trending pattern for the first nine months of the year. Inflows of FDI totaled $8.43 billion for the month, down 6.8% from a year earlier, while January through September inflows totaled $83.4 billion, down 3.8% from the same period a year earlier, according to Ministry of Commerce data released Friday.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 22:37:50

Oct. 18, 2012, 11:40 p.m. EDT
China FDI flows show futher cooling in September
By Chris Oliver

HONG KONG (MakretWatch) - China’s foreign direct investment dropped in September, rounding out a down-trending pattern for the first nine months of the year. Inflows of FDI totaled $8.43 billion for the month, down 6.8% from a year earlier, while January through September inflows totaled $83.4 billion, down 3.8% from the same period a year earlier, according to Ministry of Commerce data released Friday.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 22:50:25

Oct. 18, 2012, 10:36 a.m. EDT
Protect your money from the next stock crash
Commentary: Diversify and be defensive, David Rosenberg says
By David Rosenberg

A trader stands outside the New York Stock Exchange on September 29, 2008. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell almost 778 points in the session — the biggest one-day point drop ever.

TORONTO (MarketWatch) — It’s that time of the year again where the ghouls and ghosts of Octobers past serve to spook the market.

A lot of this “boo”-like behavior stems from the October setbacks in 1929, 1987, 1989, 1998, 2001 and again in 2007. Frankly, being someone who focuses more on the fundamentals, I find calendar quirks to be just that. Interesting, but still quirky.

Hedge fund consultant Michael Belkin spoke at The Big Picture conference, predicting a 40% stock market tumble in the next 12-15 months. Belkin joins MarketWatch’s Sam Mamudi to discuss his case for a market decline.

Investors should remain squarely focused less on seasonality and more on the factors that drive the markets — the economy, liquidity, earnings, valuation, technicals, fund flows and investor positioning.

Plus, you need a basic understanding of how market and macro conditions are unfolding — which factors are changing (and how quickly) and which are staying the same.

But let me just say at the outset that investing success is not measured in terms of being simplistically “bullish” or “bearish” on one market or asset class. You have to focus on the fundamentals and have the right combination of strategies to exploit the numerous opportunities in front of you. Read more: Jim O’Shaughnessy says market drops create money-making opportunities for stock buyers.

Slow growth

Global economic growth has been below trend for some time now, and this weak condition has forced central banks to become much more aggressive in their monetary policy. People may debate and history will eventually reveal whether these are wise policies or not. My job is to prudently assess the implications for various asset classes and securities and to do my best to generate desired risk-adjusted returns with whatever the markets present to investors.

Two things do look certain. First, deleveraging by consumers and governments means below-trend economic growth in most of the world’s developed economies for a number of years.

Second, central banks will continue to resort to aggressive and highly unconventional means of monetary stimulus to offset this slower growth and avoid a deflationary stall.

In the immediate near-term, investors are faced with U.S. presidential and congressional elections in November that will have significant implications for U.S. economic policy. Investors also must pay attention to a once-a-decade change of the senior leadership in the new economic giant, China, and the ongoing political and economic challenges in Europe.

All of this is happening at a time when short-term interest rates are close to zero in many countries. These near-zero short-term interest rates (which the Federal Reserve expects to prevail until at least mid-2015) have the direct and indirect effects of reducing the expected returns for a number of asset classes, which makes the investing environment all that more challenging too.

Money back

In this milieu, cash really is “trash” only if one hopes to earn a return that will exceed expected inflation, and even more so if one hopes to generate an attractive return commensurate with taking appropriate and well-understood risks.

That’s why the current backdrop, as tumultuous as it may be, is far different from the conditions that led to the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s (DJIA -0.06%) October 1987 crash. Then, cash yielded close to 7% and global central banks were busy draining liquidity from the marketplace.

Of course, that was in the context of robust self-sustaining growth and inflation. Today, we hardly have an organic economic revival on our hands, and deflation risks trump inflationary pressures. But cash, bank deposits, money market assets and Treasury bills are all offering near-0% returns and that is what is most critically different.

To be sure, cash and cash-like proxies offer the ultimate in terms of capital preservation, but they will not leave you or your future generations with any means to build on your existing wealth. Return on capital — not just of capital — is still an extremely important objective.

Accordingly, stock dividends have become such a key feature of the marketplace, largely because they have played a leading role in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s SPX -0.24% annualized return over the past five and 10 years. My sense is that this income theme within the equity sphere will remain in vogue until the global economy picks up steam, at which time aggressive-growth and capital appreciation strategies will return to the front burner.

Until we reach the other side of the mountain, you may as well get paid to wait. And in a deflationary environment where all you get is 0.6% in the “belly” of the Treasury curve, a 2%-plus dividend yield doesn’t look so bad. In fact, we haven’t seen a wedge this big since 1958!

If you are averse to risk, then be diversified as well as defensive, but try at least to generate an economic rent until such time as the global economic clouds do part once and for all.

As cautious as I am, that day will come, I assure you.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 22:58:08

This looks like fascinating reading. Too bad it’s already bedtime!

How to Make Money on the Presidential Prediction Markets

Mitt Romney and President Obama point fingers during the second presidential debate at Hofstra Univesity in New York. Photo by Charlie Neibergall/AP/New York Daily News.

We first reported on presidential prediction markets in a favorite story of ours that aired back in 2004. Since then, more and more people have been talking about electronic markets like Intrade (based in Dublin) and IEM (based in Iowa). And recently, there was even a proposal for presidential arbitrage. Over at The Daily Beast, Alex Klein revealed a just about risk-free way to make an annual return of more than 40 percent on a simple pair of bets.

In response, Doug Dachille, former head of trading at JP Morgan, emailed to warn of the dangers inherent in such an “arbitrage”t: “basis risk” — because Obama or Romney could lose the popular vote (IEM) but win the election (Intrade); “counterparty risk” — because the market in which you’ve bet could collapse and be unable to pay; “tail risk” — trades that offer a very small payoff most of the time, but result in a loss if some event occurs that has happened relatively infrequently on a historical basis. And, we should add, “legal risk” — the possibility that the U.S. government might move against you for trying to “repatriate” profits from an offshore gambling site like Intrade if it should determine the online betting to be illegal.

But then we ran into André Júdice Glória, an MIT MBA student from Portugal. As a European, he is permitted to play various online markets in Europe, including Betfair in the UK and Paddy Power in Ireland, among others. He constantly searches for the widest disparities between markets and arbitrages accordingly. And he’s been making money doing so this season.

Paul Solman: So you bet on the presidential prediction market?

André Júdice Glória: I’m an MIT student and at MIT, we don’t really bet - we arbitrage.

PS: “Arbitrage,” meaning you take advantage of price differences. If something’s more expensive in one place, cheaper in the other, you buy one — sell the other. You make the difference. You lock it in.

AJG: That’s exactly right. We pay attention to what the market is doing at any given time, and when we find that prices fall out of line in different markets we get an opportunity of locking in some riskless profit.

PS: So right now it’s October 4, 2012 at 12:50 pm EST. President Obama’s got 66 percent odds [of winning the election] on Intrade, 69 percent on Iowa and 73 percent on Betfair. If you were trying to make money right now, what do you do?

AJG: Well, I would if I could — Betfair is locked for U.S. persons — sell President Obama’s contracts on Betfair and buy President Obama’s contracts on Intrade, and wait, because eventually the prices on these two contracts would have to converge. They just predict the same event happening, so they will have to be worth the same once the event happens or doesn’t. So come November 6th, both of these contracts will expire at the same value, but because I sold one high and I bought the other one low, I will pocket the 8 points difference between the 2 contracts.

PS: And, in fairness, this is what traders all over the world do, in currencies, in commodities. I’ve been at trading desks where they’re always looking for these little discrepancies. You put enough money on each side of the trade and you lock in an arbitrage. That’s what you’re doing here.

AJG: Absolutely right — that’s exactly what we’re doing here. The difference in this market is that we’re not competing with the big hedge funds — we’re not competing with Wall Street, and so just a college student on a computer can do it. I’m not sure I would do that on the oil market, or, you know, Apple stock.

PS: Because you’d be competing against players more sophisticated than yourself.

AJG: Absolutely right, yeah.

PS: [The day of the first presidential debate] Intrade odds for President Obama went down from 75 percent to 70, before the debate, and then down further to about 65 afterwards. I tweeted: “Obama walloped on Intrade at debate, dropped nearly 12 percent today, though still at 65 percent odds to win. But the night is young.” And then some guy tweeted back — dutyofyouth is his handle — “It’s clear to Intrade regulars that someone or some people are ‘Painting the tape’ tonight to make Mitt look better.” Is market manipulation possible?

AJG: It is possible. One thing I would note is that Intrade consistently has higher odds of Mitt Romney winning the presidential election than other sites, other prediction markets, and so there appears to be a pro-Romney bias on Intrade.

PS: But a pro-Romney bias might just mean that people who play Intrade think it’s more likely that he’ll win; therefore they bet more on him; therefore his odds are less unfavorable, not as long a shot, as he is on other markets.

AJG: Whether it’s manipulation, or strength of conviction from the Romney supporters — I wouldn’t know.

PS: In 2008 there was talk of market manipulation, was there not?

AJG: Yeah, so here is a letter from the CEO of Intrade, back in 2008, where Intrade apparently identified attempts to manipulate certain markets. These aren’t regulated like the stock markets, so it’s very difficult to come to definite conclusions on these things, but there certainly are a lot of allegations and the markets are small enough that you could arguably really move the needle for not that much money.

And then there’s the issue around liquidity, market structure and who’s overseeing all of this, and that’s, quite frankly, uncharted territory, even as long into the existence of these markets as we are now.

PS: So one ought to treat day-to-day, even week-to-week, and certainly hour-to-hour prices with a degree of skepticism, as one ought to in any market, right, because there are traders all over the world who are constantly trying to manipulate markets, if you will, by pretending to buy and then selling?

AJG: I think it’s safe to say there are very gray areas on whether you can trade on Intrade or anywhere else on the basis of what you know, whereas in the securities market it is very clear that you wouldn’t be able to trade on such circumstances.

PS: Inside information.

AJG: Inside information is definitely one thing to wonder about. Say you were a polling company and you know that a poll that is later to come out that day favors Romney. Well, you can buy Romney on the cheap, early in the day, and sell for more once the poll is out.

PS: And as things stand, that’s not illegal.

AJG: I don’t think it’s illegal. Or, to say the least, it’s a very gray area. So these markets are prone to that behavior. They’re also prone to manipulative behavior because of the small liquidity, the thin trading that happens.

PS: Thin trading — you mean a thin market: there’s not lots of money, relative to other markets, being bet here.

AJG: That’s right. In the grand scheme of things, with the money available to the campaigns, this is peanuts. So it’s not very expensive for someone to come in in an attempt to shape events outside of the market; to promote, say, President Obama or Mitt Romney, and use then the results of Intrade and the predictions of Intrade to create a positive momentum in the real world.

PS: And these days, where lots of media outlets are finally paying attention to the prediction markets, that could be more and more valuable.

AJG: Yes, definitely.

PS: Have you locked in enough money to, I don’t know, buy me lunch?

AJG: I can buy you lunch, regardless of how I do here, but I’ll have a nice Christmas break, thanks to this, yes.

PS: Really. And where are you going over Christmas break?

AJG: Somewhere warm and sunny. Probably Portugal.

Here are the links to various markets, so you can see the odds for yourself right now: Intrade; Iowa Electronic Market, prices in the two boxes at the lower right; Betfair, divide the odds like 1.5 into 100 to get percentage odds; 1.5 for Obama translates in 64 percent; Paddy Power.

For a compound forecast, go to David Rothschild’s site, Predictwise.com, which averages Intrade, Iowa and Betfair in real time.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 23:00:00

Violence in Greece as EU leaders meet in Brussels
18 October 2012 Last updated at 17:38 ET Help

There has been more violence on the streets of Athens as protestors clashed with police, when thousands turned out to march against austerity measures.

The protest was timed to coincide with the latest summit in Brussels where Europe’s leaders are meeting for yet more talks on the Eurozone debt crisis.

They are trying to reach agreement on plans for a banking union, amid signs of tension between Germany and France.

Gavin Hewitt reports.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 23:19:50

Obama is on Jon Stewart tonight. Here are some wee predictions:

1) If Obama is reelected, there will be a 24/7 press for an all-out bailout of underwater borrowers.

2) Those who borrowed themselves into oblivion and spent the money on toys and vacations will be bailed out, courtesy of the Fed’s $40bn/month MBS purchase program.

3) Luckily, since the Fed’s printing press remains in good working order, not one tax dollar will have to be spent to bail out the underwater households.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 23:25:32

Obama, Romney skip housing in debates
Kathleen Pender, Chronicle Columnist
Published 4:54 p.m., Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Judging by the first and second presidential debates, you’d think the housing crisis was behind us.

Neither President Obama nor Mitt Romney mentioned housing in Tuesday night’s debate, and they glossed over it in their first matchup Oct. 3. Neither said what he would do, if anything, about refinancing or modifying underwater mortgages, selling or renting out government-owned homes, the tough lending environment or the two elephants in the room - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. (I am not insinuating that Fannie and Freddie are Republicans.)

Trulia Chief Economist Jed Kolko, who has been blogging on this issue, can think of two reasons why they have ignored housing.

The urgency around housing isn’t there anymore,” he says. “Prices are now rising in most parts of the country, construction is up, sales are up, vacancies are down, inventories are down. Even though there are still a lot of people underwater and a lot of homes stuck in the foreclosure process, the housing market is in better shape than it was four years ago.

The other reason: “It’s not really a winner of an issue for either candidate. Obama’s main housing initiative fell short of expectations … but at the same time Romney hasn’t proposed bold new ideas for housing.

Deafening silence

Their silence has been especially deafening given that battleground states such as Florida, Nevada and Ohio have been hard hit by foreclosures. Their final debate on Monday will be held in Florida, but it’s unlikely to come up because it is focused on foreign policy.

“I am astounded that the candidates haven’t addressed housing,” says Alan Jenkins, executive director of the Opportunity Agenda. “After jobs, it’s the most important aspect of our economic recovery.” His group is one of several that under the umbrella Home for Good delivered more than 30,000 signed postcards to the Romney and Obama campaigns urging them to discuss housing.

Christopher Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, says the candidates have been mum because “half the population thinks housing policy is a total waste of money and the other half thinks it is an absolutely critical policy, and neither candidate wants to piss off half of the electorate.”

Does their seeming indifference mean that struggling homeowners should not expect any new government-assistance programs, no matter who wins the election?

“No, I don’t think they should. I don’t think it’s an immediate concern” now that the housing market is starting to improve, Thornberg says.

Richard Green, director of the Lusk Center for Real Estate at the University of Southern California, says there is a chance that Harp 2, the refinance program for underwater homeowners whose loans are guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, could be expanded to include more borrowers.

Columbia Business School Dean Glenn Hubbard, a Romney adviser, has been pushing for a broader refinance program since 2008. Although Romney has not embraced this idea, “I could see either one if they are elected agreeing to something like that,” Green says. “It’s hard for me to see the political downside.”

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-18 23:29:53

Real Estate Watch: Where Obama and Romney stand on housing
By HOLDEN LEWIS
Posted: 10/18/2012 04:35:53 PM PDT
Updated: 10/18/2012 04:35:54 PM PDT

Neither major-party presidential candidate talks much about foreclosures, underwater mortgages, housing or home loans. At best, those subjects are mentioned in passing in the candidates’ stump speeches.

It’s almost enough to make you think they don’t believe the housing crisis is important. Yet, if you comb through old speeches, overheard remarks, party platforms and position papers, you can learn how the candidates define the housing problems, and what they think should be done.

When it comes to describing what has gone wrong with the real estate and housing markets, the Romney campaign website offers this summary:

“Under President Obama, home prices have fallen, homeowners have received more than 8.5 million foreclosure notices and 11 million Americans owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. … Meanwhile, credit-worthy borrowers are struggling to get a loan as a result of the uncertainty caused by the president’s policies.”

It’s hard to pin down the Obama administration on the nation’s housing problems. Gene Sperling, director of the National Economic Council, told the National Association of Realtors on May 15 that the housing market faced three challenges: “millions of responsible borrowers struggling to hold on to their homes,” a nationwide supply overhang with a “supply of foreclosed homes that has contributed to vicious downward spirals” and “new but unnecessary barriers to accessing mortgage credit.”

Romney’s policy on foreclosure prevention has changed over the last year, from hands-off to something vaguely hands-on.

On Oct. 17, 2011, Romney told the Las Vegas Review-Journal: “Don’t try to stop the foreclosure process. Let it run its course and hit the bottom, allow investors to buy homes, put renters in them, fix the homes up and let it turn around and come back up.”

On Jan. 23, Romney told a round-table gathering in Tampa, Fla.: “The idea that somehow this is going to cure itself, all by itself, is probably not real. There’s going to have to be a much more concerted effort to work with the lending institutions and help them take action which is in their best interest and the best interest of the homeowners.”

On Sept. 21, the Romney campaign issued a housing-policy document that said: “A Romney-Ryan administration will make it easier for homeowners to get alternatives to foreclosure, such as short sales, deed-in-lieu-of-foreclosure and shared appreciation.”

The Obama administration released on Feb. 1 a “plan to help responsible homeowners and heal the housing market.” It touted “12 months of forbearance to unemployed borrowers” and “increasing incentives for modifications that help borrowers rebuild equity.”

Plenty of homeowners have been paying on time but have trouble refinancing their mortgages because they owe more than the houses are worth.

The Obama administration responded by starting the Home Affordable Refinance Program, allowing homeowners to refinance mortgages guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

Obama signed the Dodd-Frank financial reform law that created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which regulates mortgage lenders and servicers.

After the 2012 State of the Union, the administration released a “plan to help responsible homeowners and heal the housing market” that promoted a “fair set of rules” that would “allow lenders to be transparent about options and allow borrowers to meet their responsibilities to understand the terms of their commitments.”

It lists “core principals,” including developing “a simple mortgage disclosure form to be used in all home loans” and minimizing conflicts of interest between mortgage servicers and investors.

Over the summer, the CFPB proposed national servicing standards governing billing, mortgage modifications, foreclosures and short sales.

In September, the Romney campaign issued a policy paper on housing issues that said:

“Since the housing crisis, the government has produced more than 8,000 pages of new rules and regulations. The problem is that they are poorly designed and have made it harder for people with good credit to get loans. Mitt Romney will put in place smarter regulations to restore a functioning marketplace that holds banks accountable and restart lending to creditworthy borrowers.

 
Name (required)
E-mail (required - never shown publicly)
URI
Your Comment (smaller size | larger size)
You may use <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong> in your comment.

Trackback responses to this post